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Nl200 22

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axelphoney
Joined: 03.10.2009

Prima, $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): $305.43 (152.7 bb)
BB: $532.80 (266.4 bb)
MP: $200 (100 bb)
CO: $222.35 (111.2 bb)
BTN: $372.40 (186.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 2 2
3 folds, Hero raises to $6, BB calls $4

Flop: ($12) 2 4 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $4, Hero raises to $16, BB calls $12

Turn: ($44) J (2 players)
Hero bets $30, BB calls $30

River: ($104) Q (2 players)
Hero bets $70, BB raises to $480.80 and is all-in, Hero? (184 to call)

Villain: 27/20
600 hands
46% fold bb vs sb steal
28 WTS
75% bet vs missed CB flop

Pretty sure this guy viewed me as quite aggressive. At one previous occasion he c/called me down a pfa with ace-high (A8) on QQ9TA (where I had the nuts QT) and overall I had just not treating him very nice, lots of 3bets, calling his 3bets a lot and then not folding etc.

So given my image I think the river is a very clear valuebet even on this on this rather bad card, and when he does raise me, intuitively, it feels like an easy fold, but then on another thought, do people really call twice here with an FD very often?

So all in all, is this an easy fold or can I ever find a call here?


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3 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Hi

He definitely can call twice with K and A high flush draws. Why do you think he is not capable of that? Look at how deep you are. Even with J and T high flush draws, I won't be surprised to see those in his range.

I think this is the bottom of our bluff catching range so I'll just fold here.

Thanks.


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axelphoney
Joined: 03.10.2009

Wow you sure are fast with replies! Creds to that! ;)

And yeah, didn't notice we were this deep and for some reason I also thought I made a much bigger turnbet..


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Scoob101
Joined: 11.10.2006

I dont know if we have value on the River. This is a very bad board runout and our hand looks from Flop to River very strong. Maybe he has some Q9s, J9s combos, which are calling down, but thats it.

If he seems to be aggro and is capable of turning made hands into a bluff I'd rather c/c then barreling through on the River.


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