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Nl5 Hero AKo

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MeAmor22
Joined: 07.05.2011

Hy,
Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

UTG+2: $5 (100 bb)
MP1: $7.10 (142 bb)
Hero (MP2): $5 (100 bb)
MP3: $7.74 (154.8 bb)
CO: $9.06 (181.2 bb)
BTN: $6.94 (138.8 bb)
SB: $5.06 (101.2 bb)
BB: $14.27 (285.4 bb)
UTG+1: $1.73 (34.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with K A
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.20, 4 folds, BB calls $0.15

Flop: ($0.42) Q T 9 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.26, BB calls $0.26

Turn: ($0.94) J (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.65, BB calls $0.65

River: ($2.24) 4 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2.15, BB calls $2.15

His stats are: 78/7/1/33/15 vpip/pfr/Af/FlpFldtoCbet/hands
1)PreFlp I Or for value.
I think his PF calling range could be this:

       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    63.43%  62.65%   0.78% { AcKh }
BB     36.57%  35.79%   0.78% { QQ-22, AQs-A2s, K6s+, Q8s+, J8s+, T8s+, 98s, 87s, 76s, 65s, 54s, AQo-A7o, K9o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o, 98o, 87o }

2)On flop with 2 OC+GS connected i decided to cbet but i think I should have chk vs a fish and this flop is connecting with his calling range.

Board: Q♦T♥9♠
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    42.13%  41.64%   0.49% { AcKh }
BB     57.87%  57.38%   0.49% { QQ-22, AQs-A2s, K6s+, Q8s+, J8s+, T8s+, 98s, 87s, 76s, 65s, 54s, AQo-A7o, K9o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o, 98o, 87o }

His calling range after my cbet could look like:

Board: Q♦T♥9♠
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    36.92%  36.24%   0.68% { AcKh }
BB     63.08%  62.40%   0.68% { QQ-99, AQs-AJs, KJs+, J8s+, T9s, QhJh, AdTd, AhTh, AsTs, QhTh, Ad9d, Ah9h, As9s, Qh9h, Ad8d, Ah8h, As8s, Qh8h, Ad7d, Ah7h, As7s, Ad6d, Ah6h, As6s, Ad5d, Ah5h, As5s, Ad4d, Ah4h, As4s, Ad3d, Ah3h, As3s, Ad2d, Ah2h, As2s, AQo-ATo, A8o, KJo+, Q9o+, J9o, T9o }

3)On turn my hand improve so i decided to bet for value.
4)On river i bet again for value.
ty


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Hi.

Flop is close. I think bet is fine cos he is just way too loose preflop and will have stuff like 86o often enough for the bet to be +ev. Vs a tighter guy i would not bet.

Turn shoukd be a pot ajd i would just overbet allin on river, hoping that villain has a straight.

Thanks.


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