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nl 50 fr Ace king 3b against a fish

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sandraardnas
Joined: 11.01.2012

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

MP3: $22.76 (45.5 bb)
CO: $50 (100 bb)
BTN: $60.69 (121.4 bb)
SB: $55.27 (110.5 bb)
Hero (BB): $50 (100 bb)
UTG+2: $50 (100 bb)
MP1: $51.50 (103 bb)
MP2: $55.58 (111.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A K
5 folds, BTN raises to $1.50, SB folds, Hero raises to $5, BTN calls $3.50

Flop: ($10.25) 6 2 A (2 players)
Hero bets $6.75, BTN calls $6.75

Turn: ($23.75) Q (2 players)
Hero bets $14, BTN calls $14

River: ($51.75) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

Results:

Spoiler

$51.75 pot ($2.33 rake)
Final Board: 6 2 A Q 8
BTN mucked K T and lost (-$25.75 net)
Hero showed A K and won $49.42 ($23.67 net)

Hey, guy had 37/20, 19 hands, no reads. Flop and Turn are value bets, but on river Im not sure if he calls every Ax and he can have lot of flushes, two pairs and sometimes sets, even 88 with club. I planned t fold to a bet, cause he would most likely dont value bet with worse or bluff enough of the time.
If you think it should be shove on River, could you equilab his river calling range?

thanks


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3 replies

Hi sandraardnas

Preflop: looks fine

Postflop: We are assuming he is a fish because we have seen him limp or?

Either way we should 3-barrel here imo for pure value. You are assuming he is a fish so expecting him to fold TP when everything misses seems a bit far fetched to me :)

You can expect small flushes to raise at least some of the time by now so his river calling range has nut flushes, some 2p Ax and the rest of Ax hands imo (you can discount some combos to account for hands he may limp). He may even call QxKc.


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sandraardnas Topic starter
sandraardnas
Joined: 11.01.2012

Hey, I thought he can be fish cause he was onetabling and reg usually dont open button 3x.
You are right with this shove on RIver that can be called even by KQ:), fortunately he wouldnt call anyway.
What you think about bettin 12$ on flop and pot shove Turn?


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That makes sense. The one tabling is definitely a good giveaway so we can take that assumption postflop.

I think that betting flop strong and shoving turn is definitely a good option, especially on small blank turns.


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