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AQo vs raise river

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mlatasrb
Joined: 01.04.2012

PokerStars - $1 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 381.17 BB (VPIP: 20.25, PFR: 16.46, 3Bet Preflop: 15.63, Hands: 82)
SB: 50.21 BB (VPIP: 35.29, PFR: 23.53, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 17)
BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 20.73, PFR: 17.10, 3Bet Preflop: 11.47, Hands: 397)
Hero (UTG): 102.16 BB
MP: 98.5 BB (VPIP: 34.81, PFR: 21.52, 3Bet Preflop: 10.17, Hands: 162)
CO: 59.66 BB (VPIP: 31.37, PFR: 17.65, 3Bet Preflop: 8.70, Hands: 52)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q♥ A♣

Hero raises to 3 BB, MP calls 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold

Flop: (7.5 BB, 2 players) T♠ 3♦ 5♦
Hero checks, MP checks

Turn: (7.5 BB, 2 players) A♠
Hero bets 5 BB, MP calls 5 BB

River: (17.5 BB, 2 players) 5♠
Hero bets 9 BB, MP raises to 32 BB, fold

Spoiler

MP wins 33.9 BB

Is fold river ok? Hmm, what could he bluff and what hands could he raise for value?

I was confused about both. I think he shouldnt have AT in his range, and he should bet it on flop, and he should bet a fd and bdfd on flop so he probably doesnt have a flush on river or two pairs, he probably bets flop with AK and doesnt raise river, there are less likely sets on flop because 5 pairs, so the only hands I think makes sense is TT, and 33, but why is he not betting it on flop I am wondering. Probably because I am most likely giving up on this board. So I would some logic in value raise, but I dont see what could he bluff raise. Even KQ, QJ (gutshots) would bet flop. Maybe some PP like 66-99 which planned to call turn and raise river.


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w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Mlatasrb,

Betting turn is standard. Checking is a consideration for defending turn checking range + also exploiting guys who auto-fire vs any double-check.

River is probably just a flush imo. Bdfd doesn't necessarily bet flop, but diamond draw probably does. I still think a lot of guys don't utilise back-door draws as much as they should. Only other made hand that legitimately should check back flop is any 5x, but it's true there shouldn't be that many in his MP cold-call range unless he's a fish.

With our current level of info would just give credit on river here, but would definitely fire for value.


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