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NL400 AK 3bet missed vs Midstack

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Mantelo
Joined: 12.05.2009

Opponent is fishy 37/18/4,0 over 107 hands. He hasn't folded to 3bet in 4 times (4bet jammed 88 & A9o). Which option is best after I miss flop? Chb; bet/fold; bet/call? I thought that I'm still ahead of his range, so decided to bet & call if he comes over the top. Though not sure if it is best line.

$2/$4 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BB: $443.15 (110.8 bb)
UTG: $308 (77 bb)
MP: $1,323.50 (330.9 bb)
CO: $173.30 (43.3 bb)
Hero (BTN): $411.50 (102.9 bb)
SB: $683.60 (170.9 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with A K
2 folds, CO raises to $12, Hero raises to $32, 2 folds, CO calls $20

Flop: ($70) 9 6 5 (2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets $54, CO folds

Results:

Spoiler

$70 pot ($3 rake)
Final Board: 9 6 5
CO mucked and lost (-$32 net)
Hero mucked A K and won $67 ($35 net)


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w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Mantelo,

We are likely ahead of villains flop range, but we can only really call vs a x/r if we know he is capable of bluffing this way a lot. Otherwise we may just easily be behind his x/r range.

We may not have that much fold equity, but I would still cbet anyway. I would just cbet pretty small and think of it as a thin value bet. And if he folds, great, we can be certain he's folded out at least some equity.


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