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[Closed] NL50 SH - bottom set got raised on river

7 Posts
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Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;Hero$49,25:///////;BU$49,25:15/20 /7 /0,0/67 /0 /-/50 ;[/tg]
0,25/0,5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.60 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is CO with 3♦, 3♥
2 folds, Hero raises to $2,00, BU calls $2,00, 2 folds.

Flop: ($4,75) 6♣, 3♣, A♦ (2 players)
Hero bets $4,00, BU calls $4,00.

Turn: ($12,75) 8♥ (2 players)
Hero bets $8,00, BU calls $8,00.

River: ($28,75) 7♦ (2 players)
Hero bets $16,00, BU raises to $35,25 (All-In), Hero calls $35,25 (All-In)

Final Pot: $99,25

Can i fold my set here on the river?
I don't think two pair hands would raise me after betting 3 streets.
If not it's a clear fold. If he would raise his A3s,A6s,A8s,A7s 30% of the time, than it's a call.
What do you think?


6 replies
BReWs7aR
Joined: 26.03.2007

You shouldn't fold the bottom set in this spot. Villain could raise the river with a lot of two pairs, top pairs and maybe even bluffs. ;)


Kruppe
Joined: 20.02.2008

just glancing at this, it looks to me like you only need to be ahead in 20% of cases...

loads of 2 pair hands are possible, straight is very unlikely, and the opponent will often put you on an ace.


Sebra
Joined: 01.08.2006

Bet more on the turn, shove the river, nice hand!


salflip
Joined: 02.10.2007

way too strong to fold it in this situation


Originally posted by Sebra
Bet more on the turn, shove the river, nice hand!

#+1


Okay, there's a fairly wide aggreement here :)
Good to know that i didn't make a mistake. It was the second set over set situaion (villain had 66 here) for me in an hour long session... 2 stacks down and i started to think if i can do anything to avoid this in the future. I guess not much.

Thanks,
kesgab