[Closed] 0.5/1 Sh KQ

Hand discussions for Fixed Limit

Last Post by _Anonymous_ 18 years ago

3 Posts

3 Users

0 Reactions

200 Views

RSS

eudodo

Joined: 11.05.2008

Posts: 272

07.10.2008, 16:16 0

Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;Hero$26.50:///////;CO$10.00:22/27 /14 /3.5/43 /33 /-/100 ;BU$37.85:615/26 /18 /1.9/38 /27 /48 /65 ;[/tg]
0.5/1 Fixed-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.60 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with K♥, Q♠. CO posts a blind of $0.50.
MP2 folds, Hero raises, CO calls, BU 3-bets, 2 folds, Hero calls, CO calls.

Flop: (10.50 SB) 8♠, 7♠, T♥ (3 players)
Hero checks, CO checks, BU checks.

Turn: (5.25 BB) K♣ (3 players)
Hero bets, CO folds, BU raises, Hero calls.

I dont see any other option. Should I wait for his possible bet and raise?

River: (9.25 BB) 2♦ (2 players)
Hero checks, BU bets, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 11.25 BB

Results follow (highlight to see):
Hero shows a pair of kings (Kh Qs)
BU shows a pair of kings (Kd Ac)

BU wins with a pair of kings (Kd Ac)

2 replies

_Anonymous_

07.10.2008, 21:07 0

I like your turn bet. But what do we still beat that he could raise with on the turn? Ive marked it for ciRith so he can take a closer look at it.

_Anonymous_

07.10.2008, 22:15 0

Hi eudodo,

as your opponent is a TAG his range is very easy to read this time as he won't check any pair behind on the flop.
If we give him this range preflop: 88+, ATs+, KQs, AJo+ and KQo then his range is like AJs+, KQs+, AJo+ and KQo after his flop check.
The hands he will raise the turn with are: AKs, KQs, AKo and KQo so you are most likely behind but because of the potsize you need only to win:
8BB already in on the turn, 2 BB you have to pay for a showdown, 1 BB from him on the river so we have to win 11:2 = 5,5:1 = ~ 18% of the time to be break even.

Now there are 2 AKs combinations possible (A :spade: K :spade: and A K as the K :heart: and K :club: is out there), 8 AKo combinations , 1 KQs combination (K Q :diamond:) and 6 KQo combinations.
You win 0 times, split 7 times and you lose 10 times (without taking the river into consideration as he may hit his flush or you improve if he holds AK).
As you split 7 times we can count with 3,5 wins and 13,5 loses = ~ 26%.

So we "win" 26% of the time on the river and we need just to win 18% of the time so a calldown is profitable.

If you have any questions please don't hesitate to ask.