Is villian capped here?

Joined: 14.10.2010

11.07.2014, 10:43 0

PokerStars - $27.40+$2.60|100/200 NL - Holdem - 3 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 26.25 BB (VPIP: 15.15, PFR: 12.58, 3Bet Preflop: 6.20, Hands: 14,407)
SB: 21.3 BB (VPIP: 13.38, PFR: 9.67, 3Bet Preflop: 3.99, Hands: 938)
Hero (BB): 19.95 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K♥ 9♠

BTN raises to 2 BB, fold, Hero calls 1 BB

Flop: (4.5 BB, 2 players) 7♦ 4♠ K♣
Hero checks, BTN bets 2 BB, Hero calls 2 BB

Turn: (8.5 BB, 2 players) J♣
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: (8.5 BB, 2 players) 9♦
Hero bets 15.95 BB and is all-in, fold

Hero wins 8.5 BB

Villian is regular; filtered stats from 6-3 handed: 24/23/AF 3 / steal BTN 37/ cbet F 79 / cbet T 29 [sample 21 situations] / 4k hands

Pre and flop stnd imho.
Im going for c/r on turn, there some draws which my opponent can barell, and my TP needs protection.
After his check on turn, its the assumption he is capped on river right?
Imo, he would bet turn with almost all strong hands, in order to protect from draws. ----> So on river, I'm choseing maximum sizeing, which allow me to have maximum combos of bluffs in balanced range - I would shove all my 2 pairs combos (I have K7, KJ, K9 and 97s here = 30 combos, so if I omit ICM, I can have 19 combos of bluffs) ---> I would shove some unimproved Axo which Im calling on flop (A5o, A6o)

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2 replies

_Anonymous_

12.07.2014, 06:47 0

yes, he is capped. I like your river size a lot. wp imo

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ghaleon

Joined: 17.10.2007

Posts: 11,325

12.07.2014, 10:10 0

I would go for check-call on turn as well. There are very few draws in his range as he doesn't seem to be loose enough to have 56s type in his range. So I assume you are meaning hands like QT or club draws. Those are very small part of his range. So what happens with check-shove on turn is that most worse hands fold. Maybe even some better ones like KT. Also good chance he checks his draws in turn. So for me there is lot more value in keeping his air in his range than to get "protection" for our top pair, weak kicker hand.

In river I would want to have reads on villain that he likes to make hero calls to take this sizing. Not that sure whatever calling thrash Axo is going to be good in preflop. I would either fold or make small 3bet bluff.

Also I would not see that much draws in your own range in K74 rainbow flop. Some loose calls with QT in flop, Ax of clubs. Thats it. Small suited connectors should not be in your range preflop 20bb deep especially in heavy ICM spot.

Villain range is definitely somewhat capped. He can still have some KQ, KT type hands he goes for pot control not wanting to face raise.

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