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AK TPGK in agressive pot

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pcbeem
Joined: 16.07.2008

Should I fold this hand somewhere?

I think it is a bit weak to do so but I am in doubt that I should have done that on the flop / turn

Stats villians:
CO: VPIP 13 PFR 9 3-bet 2.1 AF 2.2 WTSD 35 and W$SD 44 in 609 hands
BB: VPIP 69 PFR 4 3-bet 0.0 AF 0.7 WTSD 43 and W$SD 54 in 46 hands

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.20 Limit Hold'em Cash, 10 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Preflop: Hero is SB with A K
UTG calls, 5 folds, CO raises, BTN folds, Hero 3-bets, BB calls, UTG calls, CO calls

Flop: (12 SB) K T 9 (4 players)
Hero bets, BB raises, UTG calls, CO 3-bets, Hero calls, BB calls, UTG caps, CO calls, Hero calls, BB calls

Turn: (14 BB) 7 (4 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, UTG checks, CO bets, Hero calls, BB calls, UTG calls

River: (18 BB) J (4 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, UTG checks, CO bets, Hero folds, BB calls, UTG folds

Results:

Spoiler

20 BB pot (0.5 BB rake)
Final Board: K T 9 7 J
Hero mucked A K and lost (-4.5 BB net)
BB showed K Q and won 19.5 BB (14 BB net)
UTG mucked and lost (-4.5 BB net)
CO showed 9 9 and lost (-5.5 BB net)


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5 replies
YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

You are of course losing and the CO seems very tight. But, the pot is huge (19BB), and there are a couple of hands that he could presumably play this way, like A :diamond:Q :diamond: and maybe KQ/KJ, that you beat.

Edit: I could be completely wrong because this is a 4-way pot, and these are always close to impossible to analyze. Best thing to do is to put each player on a range in Equilab and use your own judgement to determine if it is worth it to continue at each spot. By the river (easiest spot to analyze since only CO bet), you need about 5-6% equity to call. (Perhaps more since one of the players checking might still raise.)


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firsttsunami
Joined: 23.01.2006

Interesting hands you posted down here in the forum. Would like to see some more hands of you. Contibet and then many would have maybe capped the Flop since they think TPTK is a strong hand but after Raise and CO QJ is too likely or a 2pair K9 KT T9 etc but since KJ KQ are also possible and some drawing hands like AQ AJ :diamond: or JT QT AT :diamond: => you cannot fold the Flop but you did decide correctly by just coldcalling the flop and try to achieve the showdown for a little investment.

Yohan mentioned that the chance on the River need to be so small to be still ahead but when i take a look on his stats. 13/9 on 609 => Its quite a shy and passive Player who i am really convinced that he'd never bet the River again with just KQ and KJ has you beat too. So the J does actually destroy all your hopes and CO would presumeably take a freecard with AQ AJ :diamond: and check AJ on the River and AQ got you crushed too. Though the odds are so lucrative, i dont ever see you ahead anymore. Fold is fine and given a blank => Call RIver

Suggestions?


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pcbeem Topic starter
Moderator
pcbeem
Joined: 16.07.2008

You will see more hands of me, I did not review session a while but after some hands were judged I know why I did it in the past.

Learn a lot from it _love:


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firsttsunami
Joined: 23.01.2006

You are right. IT helped me a lot too! Reviewing and thinking about your hands that you've played within your session is necessary and doing theory and handdiscussions are very helpful to progress and not get too rusty. :)

See you again soon. :)


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Avataren
Joined: 28.04.2010

i cap flop and bet/call down from turn.


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