Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

89s river fold

5 Posts
5 Users
0 Reactions
501 Views
mlatasrb
Joined: 01.04.2012

partypoker - $0.04 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 386.5 BB
SB: 50.5 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 2)
BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 12.22, 3Bet Preflop: 2.66, Hands: 548)
UTG: 333 BB (VPIP: 44.67, PFR: 15.67, 3Bet Preflop: 11.72, Hands: 307)
MP: 109.75 BB (VPIP: 19.88, PFR: 14.46, 3Bet Preflop: 1.64, Hands: 171)
CO: 72 BB (VPIP: 24.74, PFR: 17.23, 3Bet Preflop: 5.88, Hands: 1,065)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 8♥ 9♥

UTG calls 1 BB, fold, fold, Hero raises to 4 BB, fold, fold, UTG calls 3 BB

Flop: (9.5 BB, 2 players) 2♥ 7♣ T♦
UTG checks, Hero bets 7 BB, UTG calls 7 BB

Turn: (23.5 BB, 2 players) 6♣
UTG checks, Hero bets 33.75 BB, UTG calls 33.75 BB

River: (91 BB, 2 players) T♥
UTG checks, Hero bets 79 BB, UTG raises to 158 BB, fold

Spoiler

UTG wins 315.75 BB

was I too nitty on river? He is fish, so maybe he could raise AT, KT? Still I am not sure, because I overbet turn and bet big river.


Reply
Quote
4 replies
KingKas
Joined: 30.06.2012

That hand is similar to your other hand, but has a big difference. This hand has a missed FD, and top pair rivered a trips. Also villain seems he's a bit aggressive

Since he's fishy, let's give him a river raising range of {22,77,TT,AxTc,AcTc}

Through giving him AxTc combos, he has half of ATo combos in his range. What's important to look at, that most of the time, you will lose the pot when you call the river raise. However, you get a very good price.

You need to have at least ~20% equity for calling, and your hand has 36% equity against the range above. So I guess, this should be a call.


Reply
Quote
kevin2001
Joined: 14.02.2009

I would instacall given the price. Villain is a fish so he could overplay some hands. Also, we could expect him to raise 2pairs and sets either OTF or OTT a decent amount of the time.


Reply
Quote
metza
Joined: 28.01.2012

^He's not raising 2pair and sets made boat on river (unless you mean trips not set, there is a difference :f_wink:)

I don't think its unreasonable to expect him him to overplay AT and probably AT alone makes it a call on river. Don't really mind folding either though, because its super high variance calling here.


Reply
Quote
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

You need villain to hold 2 combos of ATs, apart from 22,77,TT, for you call to be right.


Reply
Quote