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nl50 river spot

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Microgaming - €0.50 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 100 BB
SB: 159.34 BB
BB: 110.66 BB
CO: 108.6 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q♥ 5♥

fold, Hero raises to 2 BB, SB calls 1.5 BB, fold

Flop: (5 BB, 2 players) 7♥ T♠ Q♦
SB bets 3 BB, Hero calls 3 BB

Turn: (11 BB, 2 players) A♥
SB checks, Hero checks

River: (11 BB, 2 players) 2♥
SB bets 7 BB, Hero raises to 19.5 BB, SB raises to 154.34 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 75.5 BB and is all-in

Hello, villain is reg and don't have stats at the moment because I've some issues with PT4.
At preflop villain calls, it's a little bit hard to say what kind of range he had without stats but many reg doesn't call much from sb. Thus, I assume that he can flat pocket pairs and some broadways like KT,KJ,KQ,QT,QJ,JT,AJ and maybe some suited aces like A8s,A9s.
On the flop he lead which is a little suprising but again without stats it's a little hard to say. Maybe some draws(OESD gutshots).
At turn villain checks, Ace hits well into my range, but his potential KJ hits straight which he'd probably xr. I assume that he might xc hand like AJ. We have still some showdown value with Q +fd. so I decided check.

River is standard value raise with second nut and V shoves. I snapped without any thoughts. But now afterwards, It seems that fold would be better: I don't think that he haves smaller flush combos at his sb flatting range. And if he had hand like JhTh(which he prob 3bet pf), he would just call my raise. Any thoughts?


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KingKas
Joined: 30.06.2012

If villain is a standard reg, it's a fold imo. Depends on his river aggression, but this is certainly a bad spot to turn his hands into a bluff.

He probably has all KhXh, because on the flop he has BD straight BD flush. However, I'm pretty sure he had KhJh, because he turned the nuts and has the nutflushdraw. That's pretty much the only hand, he would go for a check/raise on the turn. I think other KhXh keep barreling, because the Ah is the best card for him.

I mean it's possible, if villain is super aggro, and turns hands with the Kh into a bluff, but I don't think that's the case very often, so I think this kind of river raise is very value heavy. It's never worse than a Jh, although I don't think it's ever worse than a K high flush.


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