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6max. KTo on the Khigh paired board. Call/fold river?

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PokerStars - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (CO): 116.5 BB
BTN: 102.5 BB (VPIP: 48.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 55)
SB: 104.5 BB (VPIP: 22.86, PFR: 16.19, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 107)
BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 21.93, PFR: 19.30, 3Bet Preflop: 7.41, Hands: 116)
UTG: 79 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K♠ T♦

fold, Hero raises to 3.5 BB, BTN calls 3.5 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (8.5 BB, 2 players) K♣ 8♦ Q♠
Hero bets 4 BB, BTN calls 4 BB

Turn: (16.5 BB, 2 players) Q♣
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: (16.5 BB, 2 players) 8♥
Hero checks, BTN bets 7.5 BB, Hero calls 7.5 BB

BTN shows T♣ Q♦ (Full House, Queens full of Eights)
(Pre 27%, Flop 10%, Turn 95%)
Hero mucks K♠ T♦ (Two Pair, Kings and Queens)
(Pre 73%, Flop 90%, Turn 5%)
BTN wins 30.5 BB

Our guy is a fish . I thought is was 50/50 decision to make the call; our opp has ARG factor 4 on the river so far. Do u agree, folks?


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4 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

55 hands is a very small sample to make such decisions based on stats.
What was your plan for the hand? How many streets of value you wanted to take?


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Hi, thanks for the answer. Well, if his VPIP is 48 we can assume that he is a little bit fishy, can't we ? My plan was pot control on the turn because of the weak kicker, then bet river if he checks. Is it right play in that particular situation? What do u think?


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

What stopped you from executing that plan?


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KingKas
Joined: 30.06.2012

If he has 50/0 after 55 hands, we can be pretty sure, that he's not a very good player.

Actually I like it as played. However, River is probably close. Since his flop contination range holds many Qx and 8x, you can probably even fold. But I don't think it's that big of a deal either way.


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