NL16 SH Zoom 44, Bottom Set in MWP

As played.

Well sometimes he will have bigger set but still you should call.

Raise at the latest on turn. River is too late because you play about even with AK and better that calls. (Sounding rude again, not intentional, but FFS don't slowplay. You want him to have AA/AK - if he folds it - bad luck. He mostly will not do that OTT. Then he is trapped and can't get away.)

To be clearer, there are a bunch of hands that he will fold to a raise. The point is that he will rarely invest anymore with these hands anyway. So this keeping his bluffs/weak value in his range bs applies when you hold bluff-catchers. You have the nuts.

On second thought, Yohan is probably right. You don't really get more value by calling turn. There are no or not many hands I can think of that he will on average bet again on river but not call on turn, unless he has good reads on you and folds overpairs and two pairs to that raise because of it.

Originally posted by generals007
On second thought, Yohan is probably right. You don't really get more value by calling turn. There are no or not many hands I can think of that he will on average bet again on river but not call on turn, unless he has good reads on you and folds overpairs and two pairs to that raise because of it.

I think that AA, AK, KQ and KJ are not always calling the raise on the turn. The Ace on the river is unfortunate card, since he is probably not betting KQ and KJ again, but maybe he can bluffcatch because not many times I would call flop and turn with A-high. He is probably betting AK on the river.