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NL2 zoom: river potsize donk vs second set on straighty board

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briccius
Joined: 26.06.2007

Poker Stars $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $1.82
SB: $2.00
BB: $2.00
UTG: $2.00
Hero (MP): $2.26
CO: $2.72

Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is MP with 9♦ 9♣
1 fold, Hero raises to $0.06, 3 folds, BB calls $0.04

Flop: ($0.13) 9♠ 4♣ 8♥ (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.08, BB calls $0.08

Turn: ($0.29) 2♠ (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.20, BB calls $0.20

River: ($0.69) Q♣ (2 players)
BB bets $0.67,Hero?

Spoiler

Hero calls $0.67

When he leads river for potsize I felt like "he surely has JT, I should fold" Then I figured he might play like that with a set even though I thought he would probably raise turn (or flop) with it. In the end I made the call and took a note. After all, if he has all the worse sets in his range it would make sense for me even to raise, but I actually think he does not. He wants to play for stacks with a set so he raises turn, also because of the flush draw and possible straight draws. So what range can I give him after his river bet? Do you think I could even raise the river?

Side question:
a) what would hero do with JJ and TT, blocking many of villain´s straight combos?
b) I wonder whether villain was (in his mind) valuebetting or bluffing?

BTW, he had QTo. :thinking:


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2 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Villain didn't 3bet but sometimes fish at NL2 doesn't do that. QQ is possible but unlikely. JT would have a straight now but does it call OTT, JT of spades maybe so it is possible too but unlikely. Any other hands than smaller sets or 98 doesn't make much sense here so it definitely looks like a bluff. I have also noticed that they usually use pot size bets when bluffing. I think we have most likely the best hand here and we can shove. Now lets see what you did.. You just called which is fine because we never know what kind of hand a fish can have here.

a) With JJ and TT I think we have to fold when villain shows aggression. He could have any set, two pair, overpair etc..
b) I believe that villain doesn't even know himself why he was betting...


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

If you are unsure - just call on river.


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