Standard OR. I wondered whether I ought to 4-bet here, but the villain has tightish 3B and vs UTG I expect a range like {QQ+, AK}, against which I have 42% equity vs 30% required to call. If I 4-bet I get perhaps 12 out of 21 combos to fold (QQ and AKo) so I have 57% chance of winning $1.65 immediately and a 43% of ending up all in a pot with 32% equity. So my expected return is -$0.43.
It seems to me that if villain doesn't fold to a 4-bet, he would always shove (i.e. he has no 4-bet calling range), and I'm bound to call a shove, so I may as well 4-bet shove myself to maximise my FE if I'm going to do it, but it still seems that I'll lose money. For instance if villain only calls with {KK+} then I have 71% chance of folding him (for $1.65) but only 23% equity when he calls, for an expected return of -$0.28.
So anyway, as played I hit a FD. I could also have top set, so betting seems good. Villain calls, which I guess shows an OP. I still have a FD and can still rep top set, so I bet again OTT, which again is called. OTR, I have a busted flush, but I could still rep a FH?? (there are $4.97 remaining in the effective stack)
Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
BB: $10.00 - VPIP: 11, PFR: 9, 3B: 4, AF: 5.0, Hands: 296
Hero (UTG): $21.12 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 14, 3B: 7, AF: 2.8, Hands: 12491
UTG+1: $10.00 - VPIP: 13, PFR: 10, 3B: 2, AF: 2.5, Hands: 109
MP1: $10.18 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 14, 3B: 4, AF: 1.3, Hands: 205
MP2: $10.46 - VPIP: 36, PFR: 6, 3B: 0, AF: 2.3, Hands: 94
CO: $10.10 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 11, 3B: 5, AF: 2.8, Hands: 226
BTN: $10.00 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 14, 3B: 7, AF: 4.5, Hands: 172
SB: $10.20 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 13, 3B: 6, AF: 1.7, Hands: 136
Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is UTG with K 
A
Hero raises to $0.40, 3 folds, CO raises to $1.10, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.70
Flop: ($2.35) 8 
J 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $1.49, CO calls $1.49
Turn: ($5.33) 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $2.54, CO calls $2.54
River: ($10.41) 3 
(2 players)
Hero ???
