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Top two pair -- Flush completes on the river. Call or not?

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VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Well, when the Q falls on the river, it isn't top two any more...

partypoker - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (SB): $13.29
BB: $10.15 (33.33/33.33/0.00/3 (V/P/3/H)
UTG: $19.55 (21.21/12.12/23.08/33 (V/P/3/H)
MP: $15.71 (22.58/16.67/8.06/191 (V/P/3/H)
CO: $8.82 (33.33/11.11/0.00/18 (V/P/3/H)
BTN: $11.94 (53.57/41.07/11.11/58 (V/P/3/H)

Hero posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has J♠:K♥:

fold, fold, CO raises to $0.30, fold, Hero calls $0.25, fold

Flop: ($0.70, 2 players) 8♣:J♥:6♠:
Hero checks, CO bets $0.40, Hero calls $0.40

Turn: ($1.50, 2 players) K♣:
Hero bets $1.00, CO calls $1.00

River: ($3.50, 2 players) Q♣:
Hero checks, CO bets $3.33, Hero ???

A bit more detail :
CO's stats don't really tell the whole story.
His post-flop AF is 4, and AFq is 71. Yeah, yeah, yeah, small sample size and all that.
His post-flop bets and raises have all been large.
His stack size is odd as well. He bought in with only $5.00, but got lucky on his first hand.

Cheers,
VS


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8 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

If he is so aggressive why don't you let him bet the turn and then raise?


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VaskataBuci
Joined: 08.08.2011

I also think x/r turn is good option vs. this particular villain. On the river the flush completes and also hand like T9. He might have also better 2 pairs. Without some observations I'm rather folding vs. this betsize.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

AT also got there.


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Dadramel
Joined: 10.08.2014

As other fellas wrote, you revealed yourself ott, as played, I could use a small, sophisticated bet otr.


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LuckyManFromLT
Joined: 12.11.2013

Don't donk OTT, but x/r given so many draws possible, if you know over bigger sample that he iss very aggressive then x/c OTT might be better than x/r.
As played, everything got there besides 97s, it's a clear fold vs his sizing.


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zoty79
Joined: 31.03.2010

I would fold vs his bet on the river. KQ AT and and flushes got there!


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CPallo
Joined: 12.04.2012

Definitely check-raise turn. Sample is really small, so you can't make any assumptions on that - he might be on a lucky streak.


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

Agree, x/r on the turn and see if you are way ahead or way behind and get value either way.


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