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two pairs facing raise on the Turn

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hansssolo
Joined: 26.04.2010

PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: 100 BB (VPIP: 88.89, PFR: 22.22, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 9)
BTN: 91 BB (VPIP: 80.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
SB: 100 BB (VPIP: 32.56, PFR: 20.93, 3Bet Preflop: 12.50, Hands: 43)
Hero (BB): 243 BB
UTG: 146 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 13.64, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 46)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T♥ 9♣

fold, CO calls 1 BB, BTN calls 1 BB, SB calls 0.5 BB, Hero checks

Flop: (4 BB, 4 players) 9♥ 3♥ T♣
SB checks, Hero bets 4 BB, CO raises to 8 BB, fold, fold, Hero raises to 27 BB, CO calls 19 BB

Turn: (58 BB, 2 players) A♣
Hero bets 30 BB, CO raises to 60 BB, Hero??

CO is a fun player without doubts. 3betting small K8 sb vs bu. Check/ mini raise Q2 on dry Qhigh flop in multiway and potsize bet on blank T.
My thoughts were that we have two pairs against ATM, so whatever.
OTF, I should 3b even higher; he might play trapped JJ+, TP, but not sure about combo draws, nuts flushdraws with 2oc, because some weak players like to just call these hands.
OTR, its tricky, because I assume all his unimproved TP, KK-JJ dont raise and I dont know what about hands like AhJh+, QhJh, Jh9h. Anyway, there are many question marks, he is a weak player and we need only 20%, so I think there is no way we can get away.


       Equity  Wygrana  Podział
MP2    68.25%   65.19%    3.06% { AA, TT-99, 33, ATs, T9s, AhKh, AhQh, AhJh, QhJh, QcJc, Jh8h, Jc8c, ATo }
MP3    31.75%   28.69%    3.06% { Th9c }


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7 replies
Dadramel
Joined: 10.08.2014

The A changes nothing, in limped pot just go all in, expect worse two pairs, combo draws, sets are nearly impossible considering he opened first limping on late possition


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Raise bigger on flop and push turn.


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

I also think we can push the turn with two pairs vs recreational. Ofcourse that he will have a better hand sometimes, but the chance of him having a worse hand is really high.


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Maverick290784
Joined: 17.03.2008

He might have picked up additional outs with the club draw now. 7c8c is possible. But I totally agree that it's going in on the turn anyway.


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hansssolo
Joined: 26.04.2010

Ye, if I had pushed turn, I wouldn't have had these thoughts.


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Without analysing early streets to death (and without speculating about habits of fish), on turn the grave (for either of you) is already dug. No return.


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Mozzek
Joined: 16.07.2016

Yeah, we can´t really fold OTT, villain is a fish, just get it in :).


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