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KK on 4 card straight on board

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AnyGarbage
Joined: 19.01.2013

PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 107.84 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 9)
SB: 156.36 BB (VPIP: 22.22, PFR: 22.22, 3Bet Preflop: 25.00, Hands: 9)
BB: 136.08 BB
Hero (UTG): 100 BB
MP: 131.8 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
CO: 100 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has K♣ K♥

Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, SB calls 2.6 BB, fold

I think I have value on this flop from lots of draws, Qx hands, Tx hands. So standart cbet for me.

Flop: (7 BB, 2 players) 8♦ Q♣ T♦
SB checks, Hero bets 4.8 BB, SB calls 4.8 BB

Turn is ugly card, lots of villain range improved on this card to two pairs or straight, I also pick OESD but I decided to slow down.

Turn: (16.6 BB, 2 players) J♠
SB checks, Hero checks

River is blank card for me and villain bets a pot, so it seems easy fold, but ..

River: (16.6 BB, 2 players) 6♠
SB bets 15.84 BB, Hero?

I have monster blocker to nuts AK and also he is probably not holding AK because he probably 3bet this hand preflop.
My idea is what better hands I can shove here as bluff? My raising range on river for value is AK maybe K9 if i have it from preflop.

What is the best EV play on this river? Can 9x hand ever fold?
I think I can't call this one vs pot size bet, i have better hands to bluff catch as QJ for example or some set.


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7 replies
amelioration
Joined: 19.01.2014

I don't think a bluff is very believeable on this river, AK would bet turn, however a 9 may still have to fold. Imo you should bet turn smallish. You get value from diamond draws, and also the few combos of 1 pair + K hands. By betting turn you should get a free showdown. If villain wants to raise a 9 on the turn with no fear of AK then you can get away. However I think even a 9 will be c/c ing down as AK is big part of your UTG range


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SuperChompa
Joined: 26.07.2016

If you had more hands on vilain I would be tempted to say that, given he has not much gap between vpip and pfr his sb calling range might only be 88-TT. Given that you beat nothing from his range.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

How about bet turn xb river?


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

As played we can call with our hand.


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

I also am often not too scared of such turn cards even though they are ugly. We are still targeting Qx and FDs when betting. When raised, we can still comfortably fold and now we have a huge decision to make OTR.
As played, I'd fold here because I know how micros can behave here :f_biggrin:


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DecMate
Joined: 25.01.2009

I think the turn check is fine. We want to realize equity vs a 9 so I would sway to the side of check, its thin value vs his range and I doubt most micro players would turn a pair into a bluff here.

If he bluffed us in this spot then WP to him, but I would personally fold the river.


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Saren113
Joined: 06.03.2009

Does he really have that many 9x in his flatrange from sb though? And AK we have heard from preflop. So basicly he has a very capped range.


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