[Closed] NL200FR: T9s flushdraw+gutshot

its a monsterdraw, so nh.. just to prove it should be +ev:

he has very good inclinations tow cs, and deffo very lag, so he is reshoving there with some FD+overs,77, 78, 76, 65, ofc sets or overp..

vs this whole range u re abt 45-55 (equilator)

at the point u have to make your decision (his rereaise) u have to put 192,60 (210,6-6-12) of his remainder to the total of what would be 424,6 (210.6*2+3) = > 192,6/424,6 = 0.45 ♦ ♦ ♦

ok.. it s very close.. but maybe he does it also with 89? dont know what to add.. if it s this close i d like to call and get info abt his lines, bcs mathematically u re deffo not doing much of a mistake if any..

edit> ofc i was in a rush, forgot abt fold eq.. so deffo +ev.. but what TwiceT is writing sounds even more appealing..

- you have pos on a board where the pfa cant really play turn and river w/ overpairs, if he already has a set and u hit on later streets u will get paid.
- i would often flat on the flop to float and often also float the turn as well
- u can rep any: any 4,7,8,9,T on the turn and even more cards on the river.
- if you dont have to balance vs this opp. u can always shove/overbet an ugly (ugly for pfa) turn or river as bluff (also if a 9 or T hits its a bluff most of the time) and vbet if u make your hand (actually it depends on situation and opp. whether u should vbet or shove as bluff or for value ... )

edit: of course, raise/calling the flop is always + EV because he will fold all his air/marginal hands and against his strong hand range u have a flip with the dead money. but since we always try to play the most +EV line, i think we should use position here and make this spot more +EV.

Originally posted by TwiceT
- you have pos on a board where the pfa cant really play turn and river w/ overpairs, if he already has a set and u hit on later streets u will get paid.
- i would often flat on the flop to float and often also float the turn as well
- u can rep any: any 4,7,8,9,T on the turn and even more cards on the river.
- if you dont have to balance vs this opp. u can always shove/overbet an ugly (ugly for pfa) turn or river as bluff (also if a 9 or T hits its a bluff most of the time) and vbet if u make your hand (actually it depends on situation and opp. whether u should vbet or shove as bluff or for value ... )

edit: of course, raise/calling the flop is always + EV because he will fold all his air/marginal hands and against his strong hand range u have a flip with the dead money. but since we always try to play the most +EV line, i think we should use position here and make this spot more +EV.

this

If he is capable of folding an overpair( somewhere along the way) if we raise , I prefer the raise though.

Best regards,
TribunCaesar