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Flopped set, runner runner comes

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rogue34
Joined: 15.02.2010

Poker Stars, $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $2.10 (105 bb)
Hero (BB): $2.37 (118.5 bb)
UTG: $1.40 (70 bb)
MP: $3.24 (162 bb)
CO: $1.54 (77 bb)
BTN: $2.06 (103 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 8♥: 8♠:
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.05, CO folds, BTN calls $0.05, SB folds, Hero calls $0.03

Flop: ($0.16) 8♣: 7♥: Q♠: (3 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $0.08, BTN calls $0.08, Hero raises to $0.30, MP calls $0.22, BTN folds

Turn: ($0.84) 4♣: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.49, MP calls $0.49

River: ($1.82) A♣: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.39, MP raises to $1.54, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

$2.60 pot ($0.09 rake)
Final Board: 8♣: 7♥: Q♠: 4♣: A♣:
Hero mucked 8♥: 8♠: and lost (-$1.23 net)
MP mucked and won $2.51 ($1.28 net)

Not sure, how differently to play, maybe just checking river? I don't think he's raising me with any worse hands.

Thanks for any advice.


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9 replies
LacsapR
Joined: 14.07.2011

Well I see some worse hands he's raising with: 77, 44, AQ, even AK (fish on NL2 always feel committed to AK) good players wouldn't of course but on NL2 I saw this often...just because of runner runner flush I'd not automaticly fold here. Of course the raise is strong and the fold isn't bad, ut I think it's a little bit too tight here. I'd not love to call here, but I'd call.


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Trim112
Joined: 25.09.2017

I would also call here, chance are very little he call you with a backdoor flush draw I would guess maybe AQ or AQ or even JJ,KK,AA.
and the only straight would be 56 mmmm interesting.


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sdf256
Joined: 21.07.2016

I would definitely bet bigger OTT.
Check/call OTR.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

You hit a set OTF, my initial plan would be to go for 3 streets and get the max value. I wouldn't be too afraid of runner runner flush here, especially when the guy opened from UTG and that Ac should block many of his flush combos. Some QcXc hands might make sense but there are not many. He could do this with 77,AQ. River raises are super super strong but I think I still wouldn't be able to fold here. But I still wouldn't say that folding is terrible, considering that in these cases villain so often really has the nuts even though it is unlikely for him to have those.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I would raise flop bigger. I would make bigger bets on all streets.
As played I will call the raise vs my smallish bet on river.


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Coach
LemOn36
Joined: 07.02.2009

You sized flop and turn perfectly for a river shove, now it's time to jam it in my friend!


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Coach
LemOn36
Joined: 07.02.2009

Do NOT be afraid of the flush when the ace falls and you are against a guy from an early position
Only flush combos he can have are KcQc, QcJc, QcTc
He can also have all AQ here, and 77 depending on how he plays

http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: Qs7h8c4cAc
Equity Win Tie
MP2 33.33% 33.33% 0.00% { AA, 77, AQs, KcQc, QcJc, QcTc, AQo }
MP3 66.67% 66.67% 0.00% { 8h8s }

-And this is pretty conservative, as the guys mentioned people will call you with surprising things art NL2 all over the place


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Coach
LemOn36
Joined: 07.02.2009

One of the spots where just following the beginner strategy and not being fancy would help you avoid a really big mistake


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KatalonacX
Joined: 22.11.2013

OTF check-raise is best,OTT bet bigger, OTR I'll go all-in, Qx will call on this limits,like you play it's call river,imo.


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