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Set otf --> Slowplay or Fastplay, that's the question

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Sendrafreak
Joined: 31.05.2011

Opponent: Almost unknown, but probably regular (no further info available)

SB: $2.44 (122 bb)
BB: $2.02 (101 bb)
UTG: $3.73 (186.5 bb)
MP: $2.47 (123.5 bb)
Hero (CO): $2.01 (100.5 bb)
BTN: $3.06 (153 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 8♣: 8♠:
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.06, BTN folds, SB raises to $0.22, BB folds, Hero calls $0.16

Flop: ($0.46) 8♥: 5♦: T♥: (2 players)
SB bets $0.18, Hero calls $0.18

Turn: ($0.82) 7♣: (2 players)
SB bets $0.48, Hero calls $0.48

River: ($1.78) J♦: (2 players)
SB bets $1.56 and is all-in, Hero calls $1.13 and is all-in

Okay, otf I hit my set, and the question is whether to raise or not --> I think if I raise he can fold his AK/AQ-and-other-overcards-stuff, but I don't want him to do so - maybe he hits something on the turn or even river which makes him go on "valuebetting" - so I slowplay till the river. Question is whether I should raise somewhere 4 protection against 99 or flushdraw type of hands. Especially ott this might be true even more, but still, he could fold his overcards on a raise again, which I don't want. Hmm, I am unsure. Opinions?


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4 replies
Casey55
Joined: 19.07.2010

what do you think about the opponents 3-betting range? Do you think he’s 3-betting his whole playable range from s because he doesn’t want to call OOP or do you give him a solid range with the best hands?


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Sendrafreak
Joined: 31.05.2011

Originally posted by Casey55
what do you think about the opponents 3-betting range? Do you think he’s 3-betting his whole playable range from s because he doesn’t want to call OOP or do you give him a solid range with the best hands?

Good question - problem is I don't really know it, but yeah, normally (without stats) I would assume a reltively linear and value-heavy range (but maybe I'm wrong).


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Neoken
Joined: 23.03.2008

Also consider that if he has an overpair on a wet board, and you just call him down, any card that drops on the turn or river which completes a flush or straight is likely to kill your action as well. Not to mention he could be drawing for that flush himself with an Axs. Some occasions it pays off more to raise the flop on a wet board, to try and get villain to go all in with possible overpairs or a strong draw. It'll also make it seem more like you're semi-bluffing with a draw yourself.


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Tosh5457
Joined: 18.01.2008

He'll have mostly overpairs and FD with overcards after he cbets that flop. Just raise/shove, he won't fold those hands on a 3bet pot, and as Neoken said, there are plenty of turn and river cards that can kill your action. Generally it's not worth it to slowplay a strong hand in these boards IMO.


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