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AK 2pair raised OTR

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ferdhy5
Joined: 21.04.2014

Pacific Poker - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 118.8 BB VPIP: 31 PR:21 AF:3 (71 hands)
SB: 105.8 BB
Hero (BB): 100 BB
UTG: 103.8 BB
CO: 42.8 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has A♥ K♥

fold, fold, BTN raises to 3 BB, fold, Hero raises to 10 BB, BTN calls 7 BB

Flop: (20.4 BB, 2 players) 2♣ 7♥ 3♠
Hero bets 10.2 BB, BTN calls 10.2 BB

Turn: (40.8 BB, 2 players) A♣
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: (40.8 BB, 2 players) K♠
Hero bets 26.8 BB, BTN raises to 89.6 BB, Hero calls 53 BB and is all-in

BTN wins 190.4 BB

Hi everyone.
I bet the flop because it's a dry board although I'm not sure it was the right thing to as it doesn't hit my perceived range.
On the river I thouhgt I couldn't fold such a strong hand on a 3bet pot. Afterwards I realised that villain wouldn't make such a move without anything worse.
What do you think guys?


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8 replies
kfcsekirata
Joined: 01.11.2013

I would bet the turn, and on the river would also call here. It`s possible that he has set, but I don`t understand why we shouldn`t bet the turn.


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Dandiiik
Joined: 19.07.2009

I would probably just check/call flop. The thing is you are either beat and he will never fold to one barrel things like pocket pairs which are now likely to be over pairs on this board or you will make him fold things like AQ, KQs which you beat. So I would go for pot control here and try to bluff catch one or two streets depending on the runout.

As played I like checking turn because it looks like you are scared of the A with your TT-KK or air with which you c-bet flop and he might try to float you. Since he checks behind he either has some medium strength showdown value and wants to get to showdown cheaply or he is slowplaying a set.

Either way we dont get much value OTR. I would suggest a small bet of like 15BB to make him hero call with a pocket pair. He is loose but he is not a maniac probably. And any aggression OTR, especially raise shove is very likely to be extremely strong. So here it is a clear fold for me. You have a hand that is seemingly strong but in this spot your best result will be split against another AK. Most of the time you will be beat by slowplayed sets.


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zetozinho
Joined: 18.06.2017

Well, I think this was completely misplayed.
Flop bet small or check/call. I think I prefer check/calling overall.
Turn is a bet. No reason to check your strongest top pair.
You have top two and this is the top of your range OTR, you can't fold.


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KatalonacX
Joined: 22.11.2013

River raise is always value on micros, but it is call,imo, villiain can have worse two pair. It would be easier if you bet turn...


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Dandiiik
Joined: 19.07.2009

Originally posted by KatalonacX
River raise is always value on micros, but it is call,imo, villiain can have worse two pair. It would be easier if you bet turn...

Which worse 2 pairs do you mean exactly? 72, 73 or 23? Even if he had A7, which he almost never has he is not going to ship it. You have to fold OTR. You are never better.


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KatalonacX
Joined: 22.11.2013

Viliain can have AK-4combos?A2s-2combos? A7s-2combos? A3s-1combo?-9combos
Sets 22,33,77-9combos...


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KapitanKirk
Joined: 07.03.2012

Hello,

Two pairs villian just call on river i think, never ship it, but very sick spot.... :f_frown:


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ferdhy5
Joined: 21.04.2014

Thanks everyone for your replies.
After betting the plop I didn't bet the turn to control the pot on such a dry board. And as Dandiiik said it does'nt make it so obvious that I have an ace. Maybe it's a bit of a tricky play but I doubt that I could get 3 streets of value vs that player. Vs a fish or on a more drawy board I would have definitely bet the turn.
And yes, It's more likely that villain shoves the river with a set than with 2 pair. But still my look so strong to fold.


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