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Spot river vs overbet

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LeRoux90
Joined: 24.08.2015

Are we calling AA only river there?

$0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 40 BB
Hero (SB): 100.4 BB
BB: 100 BB
UTG: 67.48 BB
MP: 134.04 BB
CO: 100 BB

Hero posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has A♣ K♥

fold, fold, CO raises to 2.56 BB, fold, Hero raises to 10.24 BB, fold, CO calls 7.68 BB

Flop: (21.48 BB, 2 players) 7♠ J♣ J♥
Hero bets 6.84 BB, CO calls 6.84 BB

Turn: (35.16 BB, 2 players) 5♥
Hero checks, CO bets 9.6 BB, Hero calls 9.6 BB

River: (54.36 BB, 2 players) A♠
Hero checks, CO bets 73.32 BB and is all-in


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VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

A really tough spot I think.
Worse Aces might play like this.
Certainly many much better hands in his range.

I would call this river with any Jx as well as AA

Cheers,
VS


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

pretty sick. of course having the K:h is bad, so do we fold the turn ever?
as played seems like just a call, of course we don't beat his value range, but i don't really think that "nobody bluffs here".


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LeRoux90
Joined: 24.08.2015

Originally posted by VorpalF2F
I would call this river with any Jx as well as AA

Problem is that we could have some Jx check turn, but do we really wanna just call them versus a 1/4 bet on that drawy board, i might be wrong but i think we maybe must check/raise all our Jx there against that sizing. That's why i'm seeing AA only in our range river


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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

Drawy board? It's JJ7r and 5 only practically open bd fd. Well 98s does get second gutshot. So I would call it fairly dry board also on turn. So we should definitely have some Jx in x-c range on turn.

I don't think we really beat any value hand but depends how often you assume villain to float those gutshot suited connectors or some QTs. I suppose you could argue that if we fold river then is turn call going to be any good?


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LeRoux90
Joined: 24.08.2015

I meant it's not heavily drawy, but he got GS's and backdoors flushdraws, against a 1/3 cbet i would expect a lot of float there


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