PokerStars Zoom, Hold'em No Limit - $0.01/$0.02 - 6 players
Hand delivered by Upswing Poker
UTG: $2.03 (102 bb)
MP: $3.62 (181 bb)
CO: $3.97 (199 bb)
BU: $1.96 (98 bb)
SB (Hero): $2.11 (106 bb)
BB: $2.02 (101 bb)
Pre-Flop: ($0.03) Hero is SB with Q♠ Q♣
2 players fold, CO raises to $0.05, BTN calls $0.05, Hero 3-bets to $0.28, 2 players fold, BTN calls $0.23
Flop: ($0.63) 2♥ 6♣ J♣ (2 players)
Hero bets $0.50, BTN calls $0.50
Turn: ($1.63) K♣ (2 players)
Hero ?
Hi, do you have stats on villain? Or thought process?
Good large bet, protecting you hand. Also the opponent has a lot of J in his range. JJ, aj, kj, TJs 9js.
I think this is turn where you x/f, he has a lot more suited connector on his range than you have.
Not quite sure about my read
Since it is zoom, I never have any stats.
When a player calls a small raise, and then decides to call a 3bet OOP I don't think he is playing well.
When such players have AA or KK (maybe QQ for that matter), they usually push preflop because they think they have trapped me. I consider my raise being quite high, so they might fold lower pairs (but this is a bit of a grey zone).
I think he mostly calls with hands like: 77(grey zone: might be bottom of his range, pocket 8s mentally looks like a big pair, 7s do not), 88, 99, TT, JJ (grey zone: might be shoving all-in with this too) AJ+, KJ+, even QJ (but very unlikely considering this hand). I don't think he has suited connectors here, or at least he shouldn't have with this type of raise preflop.
After the flop I think he still calls with 88, 99, TT, Jx.
On the turn I feel that if I check, I'm giving up on the hand, and that's not something I want, because I still have a reasonably good hand.
There are actually 2 hands that might be 'bad' for me. KJ is the worst, but I can still hit my second nut flush on the river.
AcJ: But in this hand I'm actually still in front.
So I think it is more profitable to be aggressive here. When I push, I might get value from worse hands. (If he can't fold preflop, he will definitely have a hard time folding it after). Even if I do get called by a hand like KJ or maybe even JJ, I still have some equity.
I think this is turn where you x/f
This is really screaming "I'm afraid of this card", it's something I would definitely exploit if I'm villain.
flop sizing is large, but i don't mind it against a perceived weaker player.
turn i'm pushing, card is good for our range (we're betting a lot of hands here, like AQo with a club), you have a strong flush blocker/redraw and villain may call AJ or whatever with a club, if we're beat we're beat. i can't find a check/fold with this hand here
