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[PLO2] AQJ4ss from BU

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pguest
Joined: 01.04.2009

I only have 17 hands of that villain. He looks nitish: VPIP of 19 and PFR of 6.

$0.02 PL Hi (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 3 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: 142 BB
Hero (BTN): 173.5 BB
SB: 203.5 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q♦ J♦ A♣ 4♣

Hero raises to 3.5 BB, fold, BB calls 2.5 BB

Flop: (7.5 BB, 2 players) 3♠ 4♥ 2♠
BB checks, Hero checks
Thoughts:

Spoiler

Not sure about villain's defense range...
Should I guesstimate less than 50%, due to his probably tendencies? Maybe something around 30%?
The only thing that I think I know is: it feels like this board hits his calling range a lot more than my PFR range and my actual hand is worthless here.

Turn: (7.5 BB, 2 players) 7♥
BB checks, Hero checks
Thoughts:

Spoiler

Should I try to stab here IP, without any equity at all, after those many checks vs a probably nit?
I mean: I have a weak pair and a gutshot, but it's basically nothing.

River: (7.5 BB, 2 players) 9♠
BB checks, Hero checks

Spoiler

BB shows Q♥ K♣ T♣ A♠ (High Card, Ace)
(Pre 52%, Flop 22%, Turn 15%)
Hero shows Q♦ J♦ A♣ 4♣ (One Pair, Fours)
(Pre 48%, Flop 78%, Turn 85%)
Hero wins 7.5 BB


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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

Well played. Only street I would consider bluffing is river but we have bit of showdown value anyway so check is good.

Range wise both players should hit this flop in quite similar fashion. Though BB does look quite tight and might indeed not have as many hits as he should.

But this hand has no business betting anyway. We don't have fd blocker or bd fd. Also our three broadway cards make any two pair hits pretty strong. So nice hand to take free cards.


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