With only stats on 50 hds and being shorstacked the villian on BU doesn't seem to be the tightest player and likes to play with aggression => aggr recreational.
Against these types I don't like to get floated so I decide to bet rather large on the flop to hopefully make him fold. Just a snapcall is the reaction, showing no real strength and only confirms he's still in love with his hand :f_love:.
On the turn I hit my Q and I Cb as I'm not that worried it's a flushdraw, he still has a lot of pairs (77-JJ) or A3, A4, A6, suited broadways or AT-AJ he likes to call down with.
The river pairs the board but so far he didn't show real strength and I don't want to get floated so I decide to put in a 55% bet. His shove takes a bit longer than his previous calls but not that long in the end. I only expect him to beat me with QJs+ or A4 or bluffs which I think he's capable off. Flushes would have raised or minraised on the turn.
It's a marginal call I think, but with only 44BB to call to win a 143BB pot I only need to be right ±1/3 times, right?
GGPoker, Hold'em No Limit - $0.05/$0.10 - 6 players
Replay this hand on Pokeit
38e7dced (UTG): $10.16 (102 bb)
197bc383 (MP): $14.21 (142 bb)
Hero (CO): $15.44 (154 bb)
553d55c2 (BU): $7.18 (72 bb) : 38/25/43/0:3b
7b5f1084 (SB): $10.00 (100 bb)
b45ed093 (BB): $11.28 (113 bb)
Pre-Flop: ($0.15) Hero (Hero) is CO with Q♦ T♦
2 players fold, Hero (CO) raises to $0.22, 553d55c2 (BU) calls $0.22, 2 players fold
Flop: ($0.59) 3♠ 4♦ 6♠ (2 players)
Hero (CO) bets $0.33, 553d55c2 (BU) calls $0.33
Turn: ($1.25) Q♠ (2 players)
Hero (CO) bets $0.69, 553d55c2 (BU) calls $0.69
River: ($2.63) 4♥ (2 players)
Hero (CO) bets $1.45, 553d55c2 (BU) raises to $5.84, Hero (CO) calls $4.39
Total pot: $14.31 (Rake: $0.45)
Showdown:
553d55c2 (BU) shows Q♥ 9♥ (two pair, Queens and Fours)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 31%, Flop: 14%, Turn: 7%, River: 0%)
Hero (CO) shows Q♦ T♦ (two pair, Queens and Fours - higher kicker)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 69%, Flop: 86%, Turn: 93%, River: 100%)
Hero (CO) wins $13.86