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[Closed] nl100 Rush - AJo - 2pair on flushing turn, paired flop

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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($83.65)
BB ($39.50)
UTG ($54.90)
Hero ($249)
CO ($101)
BTN ($114)

Dealt to Hero J♦ A♦

fold, Hero raises to $4, fold, BTN calls $4, fold, fold

FLOP ($9.50) 7♣ A♠ 7♠

Hero bets $6, BTN calls $6

TURN ($21.50) 7♣ A♠ 7♠ J♠

Hero bets $16, BTN calls $16

RIVER ($53.50) 7♣ A♠ 7♠ J♠ 3♣

Hero bets $20, BTN calls $20

villain unk 21/25/1.3, 120 hs. Is our hand strong enough to value bet on the river? Sizing?
(I was aiming to get called by AQ/AK/AT type of hands.)
Presumably bet/folding $20 is better than checking since its hard to imagine worse hands betting here?

thanks


6 replies
WildBeans
Joined: 23.09.2008

I like the small river bet. He calls with worse hands because it's small, and he probably just calls with trips. Obviously fold if he raises.
Checking is not so great because he's checking behind worse hands, and value betting better hands, which you would want to call. So the bet gives you much more information, and you probably lose less against trips...


Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Thanks WB,

In relation to the other hand I posted, AQ on QJJxx bd ( nl100 Rush - AQ - tptk vs fish ), can you help me understand the difference between betsizing in the two hands.

i.e. in this hand, when i bet just 2/5pz, dont I have to worry that villain will bluff raise me?

Is it different because the draw (i.e. flush draw) already hit, so there are no missed draws that he can have?

thanks again


WildBeans
Joined: 23.09.2008

well I see this board as much more scary than the other one. I think you're going to be called by a lot less, and hardly ever bluff raised on this limit.. or at least you'll hardly ever be ahead if he raises when he shouldn't (like with trips).. but there is definitely some thin value with other aces that you can get from a small bet...


Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

As Wildbeans said, since the FD got there the board is a lot more scary.
Therefore in this hand his raisingrange should be stronger because he has to assume the flush is part of our range as well.

So to sum it up: I like the small bet as well.


Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Thanks - he had 4s5s or 5s6s (cant remember which). Do you think he would be overplaying this spot to raise me on the river?

thanks


Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

Originally posted by Tim64
Thanks - he had 4s5s or 5s6s (cant remember which). Do you think he would be overplaying this spot to raise me on the river?

thanks

Yes.
The only reason for him to raise it would be if he thinks we're folding better flushes (unlikely imo).