I have been thinking more about my equity during hands. In this spot I feel like such a nitty/passive player is not raising me with Tx and I dont give him T7 or T3 in his range so I put him on TT/77/33 or a flush draw (less likely due to aggro factor and OOP). Pot is giving me ~3:1 and I have position so I don't think he can ever get away from it if he has a set because he is leading every turn. I also dont think he's aggressive enough to have a FD here very often.
Would you consider this to be a fold because I only have 6 clean outs? I think I'm winning a stack 90% of the time on a non spade straight card and maybe 40-50% when it is a spade. How often do you think he can have a FD here?
Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;SB$10:129/17/9/1.2/16/29/86/33;Hero$13.6:///////;[/tg]
0.05/0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy.com Elephant 0.102 by www.pokerstrategy.com.
Preflop: Hero is BU with 9♥, 8♠
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, SB calls $0.25, BB folds.
Flop: ($0.70) T♠, 7♠, 3♣ (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.44, SB raises to $1.20, Hero calls $0.76.
Turn: ($3.10) Q♥ (2 players)
SB bets $2.1, Hero folds, SB gets uncalled bet back.
Final Pot: $3.10