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[BR CHALLENGE] Grinding it up in 2022 - now on 5NL [BR GOAL REACHED!]

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insonoro
Joined: 21.03.2009

Hi all!
I've been a member of this community since 2009. Microstakes cash games have always been what I'm drawn to, and it keeps being that way today.
I learnt how to play here, starting with the SSS strategy. It's always been an on-and-off kind of thing, in reality, because I never really played for very long periods. Mostly because of lack of proper time. To give you an idea, I think I played sth like 600k hands in total, in so many years. So not too much. I always played at NL2 and NL5. Mostly NL2 which is the limit I feel most confident at and that I see I can beat. I've always had a positive win rate but my struggle is that it's quite low.

Just like playing, studying has also been done in a non-continuous way. But every time I pick up poker, I feel something has been rooted in me and, despite how diluted this all has been, I feel I have improved.

I cashed out many times and this year I only had 40€ on Pokerstars.it. I play in the Italian networks: we Italians are stuck playing against Italians.
So this year I picked up poker again: I saw this BR challenge thing and decided it might give me the motivation to not drop it all one more time after the usual 60-70k hands, and pursue a goal with consistency.

So here it is:
Starting BR: 40€
Starting stakes: 2NL
BR Goal: 500
Stake Goal: NL10
Achievement: I want to be able to beat NL10 out of a sample of at least 80.000 hands with a win rate higher than 3bb/100.

What do you think?
When it comes to the win rate, I really struggle trying to understand. I see people posting crazy win rates of stuff like 18bb/100 at 2NL. I believe it's real but I can't just figure out how to get there. It seems impossible to me. My win rate is better this year because I have been implementing new improvements from stuff that I have learnt recently. 3betting was a leak of mine, and I can see it's got better.

What do you think is an acceptable win rate at 2NL, 5NL, 10NL where one can finally say: okay with this win rate I can step up and play at the next level?
My win rate right now is 3.90 at 2NL. It is very low compared to stuff I've seen online. It should be 10bb, shouldn't it?
I have no idea how to get there.

Plus, in Italy, rake seems to be higher: 5.5% on Pokerstars, about 6.5% on ipoker and 888. Ok I'm not blaming it on the rake :D but still.

These are my results so far, for this year (I have only played in May and June).




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29 replies
insonoro
Joined: 21.03.2009

Images added now


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Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Originally posted by insonoro
Okay, I thought those images were going to show, but I guess I did something wrong..

Originally posted by insonoro


For an image link to work it must end in .jpg, .png, .gif or possibly some other image types.
Those links point to pages.
When I go there I get the opportunity to download them — like this:

If the image already exists on your computer just drag-and-drop it into your post.
I downloaded the first image, and dragged from my download folder into this post:

All the best,
VS


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insonoro
Joined: 21.03.2009

Thank you! I'll edit this.


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Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Originally posted by insonoro
Thank you! I'll edit this.

np — that is why they keep my around :coolface:

I miss the old short-stack strategy.
Only 888 comes close, allowing a 40 BB buy-in
Even if SSS was allowed, there are extremely few full-ring tables to play it on.


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insonoro
Joined: 21.03.2009

I miss it too: in Italy it's basically impossible. ZERO full ring tables available on Pokerstars and no 40bb bi available anymore. On 888.it we have 2-3 tables active, on average, in the afternoon; and it goes up to 4-5 in the evening (NL2). There are some FR tables on the Italian ipoker but very few allow 40bb buy-ins.
I remember playing 8+ tables on Full Tilt in 2009, it was much easier. But anyway.

I tried the MSS a couple of years ago but it's hard to find educational material besides the articles here and I don't know people who play it. And there's the 6-max table problem. I don't know, maybe it's possible the same.


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Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Originally posted by insonoro
I tried the MSS a couple of years ago but it's hard to find educational material besides the articles here and I don't know people who play it. And there's the 6-max table problem. I don't know, maybe it's possible the same.

I did as well.
I think that regular players see the MSS players' short stack and think: "Cool — a fish!"
They then 3Bet beyond reason, and for most MSS opening hands, there is no option but fold or jam.

At least with SSS the hand ranges used in the strategy usually meant a win with the jam


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insonoro
Joined: 21.03.2009

One curious thing: this year I started out with a LAGgish approach. Then I noticed this:

I appear to be losing from EP. Yes, the sample is not huge yet, but it means something. I'm definitely too lose from EP and need to tighten up.

So I'm working on this. Plus my 3bet game and blind defense.

Today I had a really good session. But I really focused on playing a better range from EP and MP.

At the end of the month I'll post the monthly update and the profit so far + the actual BR available (I got pretty decent bonuses and rb promos on PokerStars this month).


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Head Admin
SvenBe
Joined: 19.04.2006

Hi and welcome to the bankroll challenge!
I am sorry I added you so late - but better now than never!

To your questions in OP: yeah your WR is influenced by the rake. In the end I believe there will always be a balance between rake fish that play.
Your winrate will also be influenced by other things:
- how concentrated do you play? Do you play with the TV on?
- how many tables do you play?
- do you use stats and know how to interpret them?
- do you analyse your game, do you take notes, do you categorize the oponents?
- do you play at the fishiest times (and room)?

All this will result in different outcomes.
Imagine: playing while watching TV, grindng a tight style, having whatsapp open - will 3bb/100 be nice, YES!
But giving the MAX on all above topics it may not be the best.

So,when should you move up? you should tell me!


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insonoro
Joined: 21.03.2009

Hi SvenBe and thank you for your reply.
I was just about to post an update.

To answer your questions:
- how concentrated do you play? Do you play with the TV on? I try to have no distractions at all, I think I have improved a great deal in this aspect. I'm trying to understand how listening to music influences my game - I still don't understand whether it's relaxing or too relaxing :D
- how many tables do you play? Usually 4, on Pokerstars. That's the max number of tables we can open according to the latest limitations. But ZOOM seems to not count when added to regular tables so sometimes I have played 6 (4 reg + 2 zoom). I'm still confused about playing ZOOM or not. In the Italian network there aren't too many players and I believe that the concentration of regs playing ZOOM gets a bit inconvenient. While it's easy to find many rec players at the regular tables. In fact, my regular tables win rate is okay, but my ZOOM win rate is negative so far this year (though this may be a consequence of just variance over a small sample).
- do you use stats and know how to interpret them? yes, I've been using trackers and HUDs since 2010. I currently use PT4
- do you analyse your game, do you take notes, do you categorize the oponents? I try my best to categorize oppos. Sometimes I also take notes but my tags are usually enough for me. Yes, I review hands that I tagged while playing. Both winning and losing ones.
- do you play at the fishiest times (and room)? This goes back to the regular vs ZOOM topic. I have now decided I'll try to stick to regular tables as much as possible. In fact I am also playing multi-room now (888.it and PS.it when I want to play more than 4 tables)

Anyway, this is what I have achieved so far this year.

So, +€41.96.
Overall win rate: 4.17bb/100

But this includes ZOOM.

The results when I filter out ZOOM are brighter, obviously.

+€50.37
Overall win rate: 5.81 bb/100

I know I'm not losing in the long term playing ZOOM, because the overall results in the last 5 years are still positive, but with such a low win rate.

This is ZOOM only, since 2017.

Now, I know I get to play more hands per hour playing zoom, but the difference is so huge that I didn't think it could compensate.

But to understand, I tried asking PT4 to show me My Currency Won per hour playing ZOOM vs regular tables.

Hourly profit from ZOOM so far: €0.19

vs

Hourly profit from REG TABLES this year: €0.02

The results are incredible. So the hourly profit shows what seems to be a big difference: I make 1bb/hour playing reg tables, but almost 10bb/hour playing ZOOM, even though the win rate is 1.86 at ZOOM tables, around three times lower than what I make in regular tables.

So the initial thought would be to just play ZOOM. But there are a few considerations that need to be made:

1) If I move up, will I be able to sustain a positive winrate plying ZOOM? I doubt it if it's already that low. Of course I'm continuing to study and I expect that to improve to some extent.
2) ZOOM tables are completely empty all the time at NL5. So there would be a long period playing regular NL5 tables anyway, before I get to NL10.
3) What could I do to reduce those huge variance swings happening while playing at ZOOM tables? Just play tighter?

The rake in Italy is 5.5% on Pokerstars and generally 6.5 or higher in other rooms, so I heard a tighter approach will pay off.

I'm very interested in other players' opinions on this. I hope I can hear back from someone.

To conclude.
Initial bankroll was 40€.
Bankroll today: €146.33

So, +106€ (Not only from table profits, this includes a few lucky hits with PS promos, leaderboards prizes and temporary RB deals.


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Tamaseger
Joined: 14.11.2010

Hey Insonoro!

Nice looking graphs and I like your general approach, so I think if you keep up you will see the desired results eventually!

I can't really answer all your questions with 100% accuracy, but I have a few thoughts I want to share with you.

Rake is really important, you need to beat your opponents AND the rake to be a winning player, so basically yes, it does influence your bb/100. What you can do against it, is to avoid marginal situations. For example when you have a flip, you need more than 51% equity to have profit, can't tell the exact numbers as I don't know how big the rake cap is, but generally you need 50% + the amount of rake of the pot in % or something like that (I'm not a CG player, maybe others can give more accurate calculations on this topic) to have a break even situation.

In my opinion when you compare your results to players outside of Italy, it's misleading. Most CG players put a great effort in table selection, and it's not the same to pick a table out of 10+ active tables, or just play the tables that are available for you. For this, I would suggest to include a table or two from one limit higher when your bankroll let you do so, trying to pick those that seems most profitable for you. But again, I don't know the player pool in those sites, and I'm not a CG player, so it's just my opinion. But I know for a fact how important table selection can be, so don't compare your results to players who can access a much bigger player pool (and assumably more recs/fishes to play against).

To decide whether you should play more tight or loose, while rake is something to consider here, the most important is to choose your playstyle according to your opponents. I've started playing on 888 recently after playing on Pokerstars for while, and the player pool is so different I had the same ROI with more or less the same strategy and stats, unfortunately with a "-" sign before it. I had to adopt to my new opponents. (It's important to note tho I play SnGs and the blind structures also had a great impact on this.)

And a last thing I think worth mentioning is volume. I find 888's software much slower than for example the software of Pokerstars, so with the same tight strategy your hourly rate will most likely smaller compared to other sites (less hand/hour). Another factor here is that recreational players want to have action, they usually play on only one table, and get bored more easily, so they play much looser to have their daily dose of action. I can't tell how exactly this should affect your strategy, but I think it's something to consider when you make your decisions at the tables.

I can't stress enough that these are my opinions, so please take them as such, but I really hope I could point out some factors to think about and you can profit from these.

Good luck at the tables!


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insonoro
Joined: 21.03.2009

Thank you Tamaseger for sharing your thoughts!

Yeah, avoiding marginal situations I guess is part of a tighter approach more in general. Unfortunately on Pokerstars it's not allowed to do table selecting; this, combined with the absence of rakeback deals available for the room, makes it a place probably hosting a softer field, I think.
I know many regs play on ipoker and people's sites because of the different deals available there, but this doesn't obviously make for a total absence of regs on PS at all. But still, as I speak, there are only 70 players at NL2 tables and 50 at ZOOM ones (Sunday afternoon). So the field is small. And I think this isn't good news in general.

Some years ago, Italy pulled out from a EU agreement between a few countries that aimed at creating a shared pool for the online poker market. It's crazy because the idea started in our very country but then Italian politicians changed their mind and put the thing off, excluding Italy from the agreement. Spain, France and another country now benefit from a shared player pool while Italians can only play with Italians... We don't know when this will change.

I guess these details do make a difference, so it's really hard to understand where I'm at and the exact adjustments to make, because as you rightfully say, results comparisons with other players - especially when it comes to educational material out there - could be misleading.

I'll keep playing and studying. I think I'll also keep playing ZOOM in a mixed sort of fashion with regular tables and see where this takes me.

I think overall I'll try to play below 20 VPIP and 17 PFR (still keeping LP play a bit looser) and see what will change and if the changes are positive (I started the year playing around 27/23).


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Head Admin
SvenBe
Joined: 19.04.2006

Just one last thing from my side:
you are focussing now on the best hourly as far as i get. You will have to admit that this is not an hourly you would ever work for.
So rather treat the time in poker as a study time to be made as efficient as possible.
Basically what I am trying to tell you that maybe long term goals mean you should sacrifice your short term success. But: YOU need to decide and I think you made a reasonable decission!


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LahtiPelican
Joined: 27.04.2013

Originally posted by insonoro
The results are incredible. So the hourly profit shows what seems to be a big difference: I make 1bb/hour playing reg tables, but almost 10bb/hour playing ZOOM, even though the win rate is 1.86 at ZOOM tables, around three times lower than what I make in regular tables.

Hello insoro!

The results are interesting comparing your winnings on reg tables and Zoom.

Don't you think PT4 made a mistake calculating your hourly winnings? According to your picture you made €0,02 in an hour, while your winrate was 5,81bb/100. After a quick calculation this means you played 17,21 hands/hour. If you play only one reg table, it would be 3-4 times more hands.


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insonoro
Joined: 21.03.2009

That's interesting, maybe I should ask PT4 support. I ran the query again, this time using BB/H and not the currency stat.
Results are different. Also I need to consider that I seem to be in the middle of quite a big downswing happening at ZOOM tables.

BB/Hour regular tables in the last 112k hands: 3.89bb/hour

BB/Hour regular tables in the last 150k hands: 5.58bb/hour

So yeah, ZOOM is still higher.

To make things equal in terms of the number of hands played, I filtered out the last 40k hands - the result is 12.30

bb/hour

Originally posted by SvenBe
Just one last thing from my side:
you are focussing now on the best hourly as far as i get. You will have to admit that this is not an hourly you would ever work for.
So rather treat the time in poker as a study time to be made as efficient as possible.
Basically what I am trying to tell you that maybe long term goals mean you should sacrifice your short term success. But: YOU need to decide and I think you made a reasonable decission!

Absolutely: I'm not doing this for a few cents per hour, but 1) because I like playing 2) because I like studying the game 3) also for the future potential - though I'm not super confident lol

Thank you for you advice, but I'm not sure what you mean by sacrificing the short term success: you mean sacrificing ZOOM because it gives me more per hour?

I find that ZOOM, if anything, makes it a little easier to study situations because of its speed and the advantage is also that it leaves you more time to focus on spots. 4 ZOOM tables equal about 16 regular tables in terms of hands/hour but I think my game would be disastrous 16tabling, while I feel like I can keep things together well on 4 ZOOM tables.

The competition though seems to differ quite much, showing a lower number of regs at regular tables, which is probably also the reason why I have a higher winrate there.


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Head Admin
SvenBe
Joined: 19.04.2006

Yeah I was trying to recommend to not play zoom because in my eye it is easier to get reads and play concentrated on regular tables.


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insonoro
Joined: 21.03.2009

BANKROLL (including bonuses and rakeback): €156,87

It's been a rough month so far.

This month it's only +€3.82 with a winrate of 1.07bb/100 in total.

ZOOM tables:
2.5k hands
-€8.58

REGULAR tables:
15.2k hands
+€12.40 (4.07bb/100)

This makes me want to not play zoom anymore :D

But it's a small sample.

Anyway, I could not play at all for 5 days because I was on a trip, and I will be on another trip next week so I hope I can still at least hit the 30k hands per month target but it'll be hard.


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insonoro
Joined: 21.03.2009

BANKROLL (including bonuses and rakeback): €213.62€

Finally I see some light this month, after very dull and flat 25k hands, I hit a nice upswing.

By chance, I found a "rake in bb/100" PT4 stat in a forgotten folder on my Google Drive. So I imported it and I can now see how much rake I seem to be paying every 100bb. It is an interesting piece of data.

Plus, I'm logging all of the PokerStars.it promo money back that I'm getting. Pokerstars has no RB deal but the money that I got back in a variety of forms seems to be a good quantity. I logged the different categories of prizes and highlighted them in different colors. It turns out the %s of money back not bad at all. It's also worth considering that Pokerstars offers a better rake structure (5.5% versus 6.5+% on other sites).

So in July, for example, the total amount of awards I got represented over 57% of the rake paid. That's VERY good to me. In the table there's a "Rakeback" category because these days Pokerstars is offering a 40% rakeback promo if you play a certain amount of hands to hit a specified amount of rake (if you generate 25€ in rake, they give you 10€ back in the form of rakeback). But even if we do not consider that promo:


That's still 27% cashback.


On Pokerstars, the stats say that the rake is generally a little below 7bb/100

While on ipoker and 888 combined, the difference is just huge

888 is very soft in Italy but also a desert, with very few players. And I only have a 15% rb deal on it. ipoker is a bit tricky for me because I play on a Mac and it's not supported by PT4 so I play with no stats. But I still play on it because I have a 39% RB deal. On 888 I actually ran very well so the results are probably not representative. But I guess the rake value is.


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insonoro
Joined: 21.03.2009

Hi all!

BANKROLL is now 260€[/b] and I have leveled up to NL5

So we're at a +€220 since I started in mid May.

The first feeling is that I don't notice many differences from NL2. The only thing I'm doing differently is maybe a little more table selection. But other than that, everything seems okay.

I've been away on a trip in the mountains for almost a week and wasn't able to play at all so I'm a bit behind with the hands. This is the graph for August so far.

I'm not playing ZOOM right now as I never see ZOOM tables available for NL5 on PokerstarsIT.
I'm mixing in some playing on 888.it and ipoker. On 888 I was lucky and won €19.62 in a freeroll, and another €4 in another one. I still have to unlock that money though. But I hope I'll make it so I can keep it.


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Head Admin
SvenBe
Joined: 19.04.2006

Trip to the mountains in August - in Italy? Isn't that a bit on the hot side?
Congratz on the freeroll and the positive EV!


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