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[Closed] NL100 AKs SB

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figeljfigelj
Joined: 16.06.2010

Pacific $100.00 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players - View hand 1337179
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

CO: $88.61
BTN: $100.00
Hero (SB): $101.38
BB: $71.38
UTG: $111.76
UTG+1: $34.73
UTG+2: $100.00
MP1: $140.19
MP2: $66.33

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is SB with A :diamond: K :diamond:
UTG calls $1, UTG+1 calls $1, UTG+2 calls $1, MP1 raises to $3, 2 folds, BTN calls $3, Hero raises to $16, 5 folds, BTN calls $13

Flop: ($39.00) 8 :club: 7 :heart: 5 :diamond: (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

Turn: ($39.00) 9 :spade: (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $20.50, Hero raises to $85.38, BTN folds

BTN 10/7 Ag 2.5 (306)


1 reply
Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

Imo his callingrange preflop is AK and something like JJ+, mayyybe down to 99+ but probably not weaker - I don't expect him to fold any of those.
Therefore I'm just c/folding all the way postflop.
If he happens to have AQ he might bet and we're folding the best hand, but I think he's folding it preflop for the most part.
So the only thing we have to be afraid of is getting bluffed off a split, but since he should bet QQ+ on the flop I'd still rather c/c the turn:

Board: 8♣7♥5♦ 9♠
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    27.27%   6.82%  20.45% { AdKd }
MP3    72.73%  52.27%  20.45% { JJ-99, AKs, AKo }

He obv doesn't fold 99, and with TT and JJ I think he'll talk himself into calling, too (overpair+draw in 3bet pot...).