Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:
$0.5/$1 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
Known players:
[tg]BU (Hero)$135.22:///////;SB$94.14:///////;BB$111.53:///////;UTG2$100.00:///////;MP1$35.00:///////;MP2$107.02:///////;MP3$95.50:///////;CO$146.33:///////;[/tg]
Preflop: Hero is BU with K:d, T:d.
2 folds, MP2 raises to $3.50, 2 folds, Hero calls $3.50, 2 folds, BB folds.
Flop: ($8.5) 9:d, 7:c, Q:h (2 players)
MP2 bets $5.38, Hero calls $5.38.
Turn: ($19.26) 6:d (2 players)
MP2 bets $12.20, Hero raises to $30.00, MP2 calls $17.80.
River: ($79.26) 3:s (1 players)
MP2 checks, gets uncalled bet back.
Final Pot: $61.46.
Opponent seems like a capable player, he is imo neither good nor bad (15/12/AFq:50, 1663 hands), and even though i played 1663 hands with him i don t recall having much history with him and have no reads on him, except what his stats already say...
I think everything is pretty standard up until the river, preflop i could 3bet but i decide to just call.
My question is should i be shoving the river when i miss? His turn call seems like aces,kings, or a qx hand, which i think he has to fold otr if i push (i could be playing all sets and made straights the same way), the only hand that calls the river and he plays it like this could be 810 imo, and even that i don t think he d raise preflop with...
If he has a set or 2 pair i assume he has to shove the turn after i raise, because of all the draws, imo he can t flat QQ there and let something like a 10,J or 8 roll of otr, especially since he s oop...
So: a) Do you bluff here?
b) How often do you expect him to call there and show something like 2 pair, or a set?
All help is apreciated.