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NL5 Set on the flop. Call River?

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Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

MP3: $3.30 (66 bb)
CO: $12.29 (245.8 bb)
BTN: $13.11 (262.2 bb)
SB: $3.19 (63.8 bb)
Hero (BB): $9.44 (188.8 bb)
UTG+2: $7.06 (141.2 bb)
MP1: $2.07 (41.4 bb)
MP2: $1.90 (38 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 8 8
UTG+2 raises to $0.12, 2 folds, MP3 calls $0.12, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.07

Flop: ($0.38) 7 T 8 (3 players)
Hero bets $0.20, UTG+2 calls $0.20, MP3 folds

Turn: ($0.78) 6 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.45, UTG+2 raises to $1, Hero calls $0.55

River: ($2.78) J (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG+2 bets $2.10, Hero calls $2.10

Results:

Spoiler

$6.98 pot ($0.29 rake)
Final Board: 7 T 8 6 J
Hero mucked 8 8 and lost (-$3.42 net)
UTG+2 showed 9 9 and won $6.69 ($3.27 net)

Hi,

Flop: I'm against 2 villain, so i bet for value and protection

Turn: I think he can have an overpair, a set, or straight with 99

River: I think i should have folded here. At the time, and because he raise from UTG i put him in AA, KK and QQ, but he could have as well JJ, TT and 99 wich beat me.

Thanks


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Paluzzo,

Preflop is fine.

I like your flop donk-bet. However I think you can make the sizing larger for additional value/protection.

The 6:d is a bad turn card. Even if you are not directly beat, it is now very difficult to extract value from worse hands because you could easily have a 9. You still have a decent draw to a full-house with 10 outs + your opponent may bluff so check/call is likely the best turn line.

As played you just about have the odds to call vs turn raise. Villain likely has a 9 though so your plan should be to check/fold every river that doesn't give you a full house.


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