$0.25/$0.5 Fixed-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
Preflop: Hero is SB with K :heart:, 7 :club:.
4 folds, Hero raises, BB calls.
Flop: (4 SB) A :spade:, A :diamond:, 5
(2 players)
Hero bets, BB raises, Hero calls.
Turn: (4 BB) T
(2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets, Hero calls.
River: (6 BB) T
(2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets, Hero calls.
This opponent had been fairly loose, and pretty aggressive so far in the session. When he raised on the flop, here are the things I thought to myself:
- This player seems like the kind who would 3-bet most of his aces in the BB when facing an SB raise preflop, and I would have thought this opponent would have waited until the turn to put in action if he has an ace, so I’m pretty suspicious. I’m not going to rule out the possibility that he has an ace, but I would be somewhat surprised if he shows me one.
- My opponent knows I’m on a wide range when I open from the SB, and, if he’s observant, he probably knows that I will c-bet 100% of the time on the flop. He should also be aware that this is a good board for a bluff. So I think the chances are decent that he’s trying to steal the pot here.
- My opponent could have a 5 or a small pocket pair, which he wants to protect, or perhaps that he’s raising the flop with so that he can check behind on the turn for a cheap showdown, in which case I have okay odds, to try and make a pair (or a 5 would counterfeit 22-44). Also, if my opponent is on this type of hand, he might slow down on the turn since I’ve indicated that I have a hand which I don’t want to let go, so I might get to see if I improve on the turn and river for only 1 SB.
So, I figured that, while I might be crushed, the chances of that aren’t great, and the chances that I am ahead or that I have outs are decent. So I don’t think my flop call was terrible.
It was the turn call that I was very uncomfortable making, and that I feel is quite likely to have been incorrect. But it just felt like my opponent was bluffing. He has been aggressive so far, and I just didn’t think it was too likely that he had the ace. I started to doubt he had small pairs in his range as well at this point, since I thought he would want to show those down cheaply. So I figured he either has an ace or is bluffing (there’s some chance he hit a T with something like T7s that was a bluff on the flop and now he thinks is good if I have a pocket pair smaller than TT, which it kind of looks like I do). I thought he was bluffing often enough here that I could call down.
The T on the river doesn’t change anything, unless he had a 5 or a small pocket pair that he decided not to check behind on the turn. Since I called on the turn, I’m calling here, since I’m getting better odds on this call than I was on the turn, and there are less Tx hands in his range since there are now two Ts on the board, making it slightly more likely that my opponent is bluffing. Once I make it to the river on this board with K-high, I’m pretty sure I have to call.
But my question is: Should I have made it to the river with K7-high in the first place, or should I have found a fold somewhere, particularly on the turn?