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NL10 FR AJo vs tight

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Pacific, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

UTG+1: $10.82 (108.2 bb)
UTG+2: $11.32 (113.2 bb)
MP1: $12.43 (124.3 bb)
MP2: $4.52 (45.2 bb)
MP3: $10.15 (101.5 bb)
CO: $11.69 (116.9 bb)
BTN: $10 (100 bb)
SB: $11.94 (119.4 bb)
Hero (BB): $11.58 (115.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with J A
6 folds, BTN raises to $0.30, SB folds, Hero raises to $1, BTN calls $0.70

Flop: ($2.05) 7 3 A (2 players)
Hero bets $1.12, BTN calls $1.12

Turn: ($4.29) T (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: ($4.29) J (2 players)
Hero bets $2.14, BTN raises to $5.28, Hero raises to $9.46 and is all-in, BTN calls $2.60 and is all-in

Villain tight 16/11 in 634 hands . Low fold to 3bet .

Question : Do you think that a tight player like this one will call a 3bet in BTN with AT or lower Aces ?
I really don't know here.


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DecMate
Joined: 25.01.2009

To be honest, i'd probably prefer a flat here. We dominate his range and when we 3B (unless he is really loose) we will most likely be behind his calling range.

I don't mind the lead on the flop although we could think about betting even smaller (such as .80c) or even check / calling to leave his range wider.

Turn check is fine.

River bet is fine, but when he raises we are either chopping with AJ here or losing to a straight, no way should we be raise shipping over without reads.
I think bet/fold is our best option on the river because he isn't raising anything that we beat, but Bet/call wouldn't be the worst line.


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