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NL200 setmine 3way in squeezed pot

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Mantelo
Joined: 12.05.2009

Initial raiser is one of the best Regs, the squeezer is on a weaken side 32/17/11,3 over 800 hands. Am I getting good odds? Facts to consider: No position, the squeezers incomplete stack, both me & CO 120BB deep :diamond:

UTG: $78.35 (39.2 bb)
MP: $200 (100 bb)
CO: $282.85 (141.4 bb)
BTN: $242.90 (121.5 bb)
Hero (SB): $245.62 (122.8 bb)
BB: $157.05 (78.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 8 8
2 folds, CO raises to $6, BTN calls $6, Hero calls $5, BB raises to $24, CO calls $18, BTN folds, Hero calls $18

Flop: ($78) 4 8 T (3 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $50, CO folds, Hero raises to $221.62 and is all-in, BB calls $83.05 and is all-in

Turn: ($344.10) 2 (2 players, 2 are all-in)
River: ($344.10) 4 (2 players, 2 are all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

$344.10 pot ($3 rake)
Final Board: 4 8 T 2 4
CO mucked and lost (-$24 net)
Hero showed 8 8 and won $341.10 ($184.05 net)
BB showed Q Q and lost (-$157.05 net)


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Mantelo,

Keep in mind that set-mine situations are based on estimates so we can't calculate exactly whether we should call. We flop a set around 12.5% of the time so the rest needs to be made up in implieds.

Given we are slightly deep vs CO and the multi-way action I would imagine the setmine is profitable here (even though it's unlikely to make us a ton of money in the long run).


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