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cbet; ch/c; Rbluffdonk?

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MGF001
Joined: 25.05.2007

MP: 476 hands: 29/20; 3bet 7; f2cbet 10 out of 15; AF 3.8; WTS 26
BB: 9 hands 44/11

$0.25/$0.50 Zoom Pot Limit Omaha Hi
PokerStars
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
Hero (UTG) ($58.44) 117bb
UTG+1 ($322.11) 644bb
CO ($176.60) 353bb
BTN ($54.20) 108bb
SB ($98.42) 197bb
BB ($78.52) 157bb

Pre-Flop: ($0.75, 6 players) Hero is UTG A♣ 10:club: K♦ A♠
Hero raises to $1.75, UTG+1 calls $1.75, 3 folds, BB calls $1.25

Flop: 7♠ 5♣ 9♣ ($5.50, 3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $4.25, UTG+1 calls $4.25, BB calls $4.25

Turn: J♥ ($18.25, 3 players)
BB checks, Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $17.43, BB folds, Hero calls $17.43

River: J♦ ($53.11, 2 players)
Hero ($35.01)?

Turn: Since I have a Flushdraw myself, I have the feeling that one of the 2 hit the straight and will raise me. So if BU bets I can call(30% vs a bare straight) and if he checks behind I get a nice freecard.

River: no hit, 2 thirds left, bluff or not:
1. I cannot respect that much:
99, but not that much starting hands UTG; J9 unlikely because of Backdoor; JJ... lol
--> a bet looks like busted Flushdraw
2. He can have even have more than a straight like 89TJ or any set on the Turn
3. My stack is not really enough to scare a straight

---> absolute bad bluffing spot

4. He can have a semibluff on the Turn and chb the River (but maybe he would bluff another time)

Regards MGF


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2 replies
Suhepxm
Joined: 20.10.2008

you pretty much said it all. nh if you x/f River, better hand if he checkback QTT9 with clubs


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Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

Hi,

i would not bluff in this spot. People will fear you have the boat, but they will still call cause the fd missed. You could jam vs a paranoid nit :)

Indeed river/cf looks nh.

Regards,

Skod


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