This is correct under the perspective of ICM but, considering the bubble effect, the shortstack player under BB and the tight players... what else factors do you consider in this situation?
$150/$300 No Limit Holdem
4 Players
Stacks:
CO venusprotein ($2,555) 9bb
BTN babyzinha18 ($4,715) 16bb
SB kns1967 ($4,550) 15bb
BB Ciclon999 ($1,680) 6bb
Pre-Flop: ($450, 4 players)
venusprotein goes all-in $2,555, babyzinha18 calls $2,555, 2 folds
Flop: 3♣ 8♠ J♦ ($5,560, 2 players, 1 all-in)
Turn: Q♣ ($5,560, 2 players, 1 all-in)
River: 8♣ ($5,560, 2 players, 1 all-in)
Final Pot: $5,560
venusprotein shows
A♦ K♦
babyzinha18 shows
6♠ 6♦
babyzinha18 wins $5,560 (net +$3,005)
venusprotein lost $2,555