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Push at bubble with AKs vs tight inexperienced players

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This is correct under the perspective of ICM but, considering the bubble effect, the shortstack player under BB and the tight players... what else factors do you consider in this situation?

$150/$300 No Limit Holdem

4 Players

Stacks:
CO venusprotein ($2,555) 9bb
BTN babyzinha18 ($4,715) 16bb
SB kns1967 ($4,550) 15bb
BB Ciclon999 ($1,680) 6bb

Pre-Flop: ($450, 4 players)
venusprotein goes all-in $2,555, babyzinha18 calls $2,555, 2 folds

Flop: 3♣ 8♠ J♦ ($5,560, 2 players, 1 all-in)

Turn: Q♣ ($5,560, 2 players, 1 all-in)

River: 8♣ ($5,560, 2 players, 1 all-in)

Final Pot: $5,560
venusprotein shows
A♦ K♦
babyzinha18 shows
6♠ 6♦

babyzinha18 wins $5,560 (net +$3,005)

venusprotein lost $2,555


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mylove190207
Joined: 10.04.2011

Hi venusprotein,

This is also clear push for me.

After that hand you will get blinds and is less likely that you will get better hand. Also it is not such a difference between your stack and stack of BB. Also very important for you is how much presure SB (kns1997) putting on BB (Ciclon999). If he understands that he can push ATC, then you can tighten up a little. If he doesn`t understand that, you must take iniciative and push little wider. Because of fact, that you have tight bigstack it is easier for you to do that, because he will fold too much.

So in that situation I recomend you to go with ICM. But if SB doesn`t push ATC, you can go with range calculated with FGS.

GL at tables!


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