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Was that a bluff from villain?

8 Posts
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2reac
Joined: 10.04.2014

Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 2723237
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

CO: $15.30 - VPIP: 54, PFR: 38, 3B: 36, AF: 2,6, Hands: 24
Hero (BTN): $25.50 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 18, 3B: 8, AF: 3,1, Hands: 108908
SB: $58.24 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 21, 3B: 8, AF: 1,6, Hands: 1875
BB: $29.30 - VPIP: 38, PFR: 23, 3B: 0, AF: 1,0, Hands: 13
UTG: $24.15 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 20, 3B: 7, AF: 3,5, Hands: 2260

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BTN with J :diamond: J :heart:
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.62, SB raises to $2.25, 1 fold, Hero calls $1.63

Flop: ($4.75) Q :diamond: 3 :heart: 6 :club: (2 players)
SB bets $2.27, Hero calls $2.27

Turn: ($9.29) 5 :club: (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($9.29) 3 :diamond: (2 players)
SB bets $7.00, Hero folds

SBvsBTN resteal 13%
Flop Cbet 3bet pot oop 60% (15)
Turn Cbet 3bet pot oop 0%(3)
WTSD 34%
What does he represent with this line?


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7 replies

I think villain has probably 33,55,66, QQ, KK, AA, AQ, A3s maybe even TT,99, 88,77 given that you didn't bet T


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2reac
Joined: 10.04.2014

I don`t think he`s betting that much with 77-JJ. He`s bet is either a pure bluff, or pure value.


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bonecore
Joined: 02.11.2009

he has A3,K3,KQ,AQ,or better
his WTSD is huge so if he makes a rare bluff we should give him credit.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

All Qx are betting the turn too.


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VaskataBuci
Joined: 08.08.2011

He is 3betting so he doesn't have many 3x. With some of Qx combos, that eventually pot controlled the turn, he should play x/call on the river. I'm also thrilled abt. the bet size otr.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

13% resteal is high enough. I think villain has a pair TT-22 and some suited broadways. The x on turn is weak for him. If he is strong he doesn't have to pot control there. It is a 3 bet pot and if he is strong he can fire 3streets for value. I think we can call that one and make a note.


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Coach
LemOn36
Joined: 07.02.2009

Regs will underbluff this spot a lot at25, can see an argument for folding even this - bluffing turn makes a lot more sense for him with his air/weak sd value hands, not rly river. He is an unknown with just stats tho so I'd want to call some hands here.

Like you're supposed to call 57% of your all combos to make his bluffs indifferent. I'd go way below this at 25 and call about 20% of my combos, expecting someone this passive + this sizing to under bluff the river a lot on average.

Just look at your full range, but JJ probably will be in that. If he doesn't expect you to check back KQ and better OTT he can do this with even QJ btw if he's good, so the 2x J blocker could play some role.


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