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bluff overbet turn vs. fish

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VaskataBuci
Joined: 08.08.2011

$0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players

SB: $20 (100 bb)
Hero (BB): $20.46 (102.3 bb)
MP: $36.83 (184.1 bb)
CO: $13.76 (68.8 bb)
BTN: $20.66 (103.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K A
2 folds, BTN raises to $0.80, SB folds, Hero calls $0.60

Flop: ($1.70) 9 8 Q (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

Turn: ($1.70) J (2 players)
Hero bets $0.85, BTN calls $0.85

River: ($3.40) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $5, BTN folds

Results:

Spoiler

$3.40 pot ($0.17 rake)
Final Board: 9 8 Q J 2
Hero mucked K A and won $3.23 ($1.58 net)
BTN mucked and lost (-$1.65 net)

The guy is calling station. Not sure if he was the right person to bluff. On the turn My equity slightly improves so decided to bet, making him eventually fold some small PP. He calls pretty fast and I ruled out Tx from his range. What do you think abt. overbeting the river to make him fold small PP and Jx. His WSD is 25 though, not so big.


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6 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

You didn't 3 bet Preflop because of his big size raise?


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VaskataBuci
Joined: 08.08.2011

He is stealing 5 %, so preferred to just call.


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Zanardi1
Joined: 04.01.2010

I don't know what to think about this hand, because anyway you put it, something doesn't click. Sure, you could make him fold pocket pairs, but a calling station steal so big with them? There are no flush draws there, and the turn brings four to a straight, so, in theory, he should have only 10-x there. But why did he call the turn to fold the river, screaming that he doesn't have 10-x? What was he waiting for? Broadways are out of the question, because the board hits him in some way...

I don't think you bluffed him. I actually think he correctly folded some junk he tried to steal with. This would make sense. He raised big, so to make you fold, because he doesn't want to see a flop. He checked the flop (good for him) and called the turn because he hoped to bluff-catch you. He saw that you were serious on the river, so he folded.


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excitedpoker
Joined: 12.08.2010

The thing is there`s no way he`s opening 5% from the BU, no way. If you are not restealing AK, what are you restealing then? 3bet/5bet preflop


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VaskataBuci
Joined: 08.08.2011

When I see it now his hand, the way he pleyed it, looks like AK. I doubt now that with PP he would open 4 bb. But god knows what the fish might have.

excitedpoker: there are guys that do not steal at all, playing some sort of 60/0:f_biggrin: And I'm sure there could be a winning strategy with this tactics just have to make your limp/calling, limp/re-raising, etc. ranges really well.


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randomdonk
Joined: 02.08.2009

he probably folds exactly the same hands to 2.20 otr. and i don't think u can rule out Tx on the account of his timing. if anything, it reduces the possibility a little bit.


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