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AQo IP how to maximize value on River

 
Hand discussions for No Limit
Last Post by Afulibador 11 years ago
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ferko5
ferko5
Joined: 01.04.2011
Posts: 95
06.01.2016, 11:06

partypoker - $0.04 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 152.75 BB
SB: 283 BB (VPIP: 20.34, PFR: 14.46, 3Bet Preflop: 5.64, Hands: 1,555)
BB: 126.5 BB (VPIP: 20.48, PFR: 16.87, 3Bet Preflop: 4.00, Hands: 86)
UTG: 134 BB (VPIP: 14.87, PFR: 13.38, 3Bet Preflop: 4.95, Hands: 277)
MP: 127.25 BB (VPIP: 25.31, PFR: 17.28, 3Bet Preflop: 8.93, Hands: 162)
CO: 182.75 BB (VPIP: 30.07, PFR: 24.84, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 156)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♠ Q♦

fold, MP raises to 3 BB, fold, Hero calls 3 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (7.5 BB, 2 players) J♠ 4♠ 5♥
MP bets 5.25 BB, Hero calls 5.25 BB

Turn: (18 BB, 2 players) 7♠
MP checks, Hero bets 10 BB, MP calls 10 BB

River: (38 BB, 2 players) Q♥
MP checks, Hero bets 10 BB, MP calls 10 BB

Pre Flop: AQo from BU I normally call. I think I can get more value calling rather than 3beting.

Flop: I expect him to c-bet whole his range and with 2 over cards and backdoor FD I call.

Turn: 7s is not the best card but gives me FD and after his check that indicates he is probably not having flush I plan to bluff barrel Turn and probably also River. I think he is holding a pair or Jx hand.

River: I like the river card especially after his check. Made flush will probably not check on this limit and so I'm confident having TPTK most of the time.
What sizing can I choose to retrieve max value and not to scare him that I have nuts?


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12 replies
la55i
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013
Posts: 8,896
06.01.2016, 11:27

Villain doesn't have many weaker hands that could call OTR. He might opt for a x/c with his sets, pairs and 2 pair hands because there is a possible flush. I think you can bet around 15bb and fold to a raise.


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nitrol
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010
Posts: 11,244
06.01.2016, 13:10

Bet small to target his Jx?


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Afulibador
Afulibador
Joined: 21.08.2009
Posts: 1,175
06.01.2016, 17:13

I dont like ur turn bet at all.
And if he check raises u? Are u that sure his check is that weak that this planning is not possible?


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Afulibador
Afulibador
Joined: 21.08.2009
Posts: 1,175
06.01.2016, 17:14

About the river bet, close to half pot seems good to me.


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zoty79
zoty79
Joined: 31.03.2010
Posts: 1,020
06.01.2016, 17:44

I would check back the Turn, because J x isn´t folding there, and probably doesn´t fold the river and you have a good showdownhand. On the river i would bet half pot.


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scopinad
scopinad
Joined: 13.06.2015
Posts: 285
06.01.2016, 18:00

I like half pot too. 2/3 villain may fold.


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Alleen86
Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010
Posts: 5,342
08.01.2016, 11:58

It's ok played. True that river bet could be a bit bigger, but it's fine on that board since he might be scared to call some weak pairs because of possible flushes. Preflop we should mix some 3bet with flats and if the villain is not 4betting alot (and most of them are not), I like 3betting more. It will be more profitable in the long run than flatting. If he 4bets, we should turn our hand into a bluff and fold.


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MJPerry
MJPerry
Joined: 03.10.2011
Posts: 4,867
08.01.2016, 14:28

Originally posted by Afulibador
I dont like ur turn bet at all.
And if he check raises u? Are u that sure his check is that weak that this planning is not possible?

Fear of being check-raised isn't a good enough reason not to bet. The turn bet sets up a river bluff with the nut blocker.


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nitrol
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010
Posts: 11,244
08.01.2016, 19:00

I think if villain raises here it will be with strong hands. And a raise on river doesnot make sense...


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Afulibador
Afulibador
Joined: 21.08.2009
Posts: 1,175
08.01.2016, 21:56

Originally posted by MJPerry

Originally posted by Afulibador
I dont like ur turn bet at all.
And if he check raises u? Are u that sure his check is that weak that this planning is not possible?

Fear of being check-raised isn't a good enough reason not to bet. The turn bet sets up a river bluff with the nut blocker.

The reason behind is I think it ll suck a lot when we get raised on turn w a nice hand like that (we ll have no choice than folding... and would possibly have a free card to the nuts on river).


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MJPerry
MJPerry
Joined: 03.10.2011
Posts: 4,867
09.01.2016, 01:01

That's true, but we also have no pair and a bet will get a decent amount of pairs to fold, which is good.

I certainly don't hate checking, but when there is merit to a passive and aggressive action then the latter is probably the one you should take.


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Afulibador
Afulibador
Joined: 21.08.2009
Posts: 1,175
09.01.2016, 02:09

I see ur point.
U can actually make better hands fold... and still have good outs. Thats awesome.

But if u have the stat that the guy likes to c/r. The passive line goes up in value here.


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