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Q8o TopTwo getting check/raised allin on the River

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adasko99
Joined: 13.02.2011

The only read is that the villain is 6-tabling

Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $11.36 (227.2 bb)
Hero (BB): $5 (100 bb)
UTG: $6.43 (128.6 bb)
MP: $5.42 (108.4 bb)
CO: $5.59 (111.8 bb)
BTN: $5.64 (112.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q♣: 8♥:
3 folds, BTN raises to $0.15, SB calls $0.13, Hero calls $0.10

Flop: ($0.45) 2♥: 7♦: 6♣: (3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, BTN checks

Turn: ($0.45) 8♣: (3 players)
SB bets $0.43, Hero calls $0.43, BTN folds

River: ($1.31) Q♥: (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1.26, SB raises to $5.04, Hero ????

31% equity to call, I played around with his River ranges and it's kinda close I think


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9 replies
Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Hi adasko99,
Equity vs his entire possible range is very good.

We have blockers for sets of 8s and queens.
45 seems unlikely.
T9 seems unlikely.

So I'll lose a stack here too :)

Best of luck,
VS


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

We make a strong near pot bet and get a massive raise. ... We can fold.
And I do not like our preflop call.


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

Preflop call is close imo. Would be completely fine vs 2,5x. Flop and turn are fine and river bet is fine. When he raises... We can be pretty sure it's not a bluff and it looks like 2 pairs+. The question is do we have enough equity to call vs his range. I feel we don't because hands like 76s, 87s are not calling preflop, so I think he mostly has 77, 66 and T9. Sometimes 22 or 88. I think we can fold vs a raise.


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

River is a clear fold. He invests 5 to win 2.5, accordingly he needs to win 2/3 = 67% to be BE. You have many better hands to call/reraise with, including 16 combos of T9 (If you play Q8 you play T9). That said, I don't think people check-raise bluff river nearly enough to be balanced, so the fold is even clearer with that observation.

Also, river pot odds is not the vital ingredient in a calculation. It is the opponents investment in a possible bluff you should consider. (If you know your opponents range or have a hole card camera on him, things change.)


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

River raises are almost always nuts so folding is definitely ok here. On the other hand if villain has a value hand, he played it weird, so if you called I don't blame you. When villain takes this line I think it is not that bad to catch with top 2. He can be a aggro maniac who is running stupid bluffs or then he can shove weaker 2 pair or top pair as value.


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adasko99
Joined: 13.02.2011

Thanks everyone, he had T9 :)


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nsavov
Joined: 24.09.2010

Preflop is a fold.
With the big bet OTT and c/r river we can fold confortably. You are not blocking many sets - only 88. And the guy is unlikely to c/r for value worse. All the bluffs he can have seem really random :f_thumbsup:


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

I would not consider a call nor squeeze on BB with Q8o... Anyway, as played, we can comfortably fold river here.


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adasko99
Joined: 13.02.2011

ty :f_thumbsup:


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