Edit: Messed up the formulas. Will repost soon!
Could you explain the formula a bit?
What does the stack/cbet mean there? Is it our effective stack size? And how about those %? Are those the size of villains donk?
I made an example calculation: Villain opens 3bb, hero 3bets to 9bb and villain calls -> pot will be about 20bb. Villain donks 1/2pot so the pot is about 30bb.
If hero shoves the rest of his stack to 30bb pot, he needs 45% equity if we assume he doesn't have any fold equity. Still I don't see any percentage below 50% in your graph and that cannot be true because when there is dead money in the pot we can shove with less than 50% equity.
So your required equities seem high? But still you say you would raise shove with a gutshot that has less than 20% equity?
I think raising a donk is a bad strategy anyway. Those donks can be strong too. If villain decides to stack off, you will usually face sets and have very little equity.
I would say you usually have only about 20% equity vs villains donk calling range there, so that means villain would have to fold about 65% vs your raise shove.
Originally posted by la55i
Could you explain the formula a bit?
What does the stack/cbet mean there? Is it our effective stack size? And how about those %? Are those the size of villains donk?I made an example calculation: Villain opens 3bb, hero 3bets to 9bb and villain calls -> pot will be about 20bb. Villain donks 1/2pot so the pot is about 30bb.
If hero shoves the rest of his stack to 30bb pot, he needs 45% equity if we assume he doesn't have any fold equity. Still I don't see any percentage below 50% in your graph and that cannot be true because when there is dead money in the pot we can shove with less than 50% equity.So your required equities seem high? But still you say you would raise shove with a gutshot that has less than 20% equity?
I think raising a donk is a bad strategy anyway. Those donks can be strong too. If villain decides to stack off, you will usually face sets and have very little equity.
I would say you usually have only about 20% equity vs villains donk calling range there, so that means villain would have to fold about 65% vs your raise shove.
Yeah you are right, I messed up the formulas. I have to build them up again.