Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
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Hero (SB): $54.19 (108.4 bb)
BB: $35.21 (70.4 bb)
UTG: $52.06 (104.1 bb)
MP: $143.98 (288 bb)
CO: $73.51 (147 bb)
BTN: $50 (100 bb)
Preflop: Hero is SB with 5♠: 6♠:
UTG folds, MP raises to $1, CO calls $1, BTN folds, Hero calls $0.75, BB folds
Flop: ($3.50) 8♦: 4♦: 7♣: (3 players)
Hero checks, MP checks, CO bets $2, Hero raises to $6.75, MP folds, CO calls $4.75
Turn: ($17) K♦: (2 players)
Hero bets $9, CO calls $9
River: ($35) 3♠: (2 players)
Hero??? (stack: $37,44)
Preflop: Since the price is really good and BB is potential fish, decided to call. MP plays 31/25 in 165 hands, so looks like an aggressive reg, and CO is unknown.
Flop: Could lead for value and to protect vs flushdraws. Could also make it 1/3 to induce something from aggressive MP. Decided to check/raise, assuming that MP will cbet. Since MP didn't cbet, but CO bet, I believe he might have sets, overpairs, flushdraws, OESDs, gutshots and overpairs with backdoors. Many of those will call my check/raise. Maybe I can make it a bit bigger, not sure.
Turn: Not the best card, but he will still call worse with pairs + flushdraw and maybe OESDs, so I decided to bet 1/2 for protection vs flushdraws. I don't think I can check/fold vs a normal sized bet (if ever) and with checking in general I'm giving free cards.
River: I don't think I can bet 1/2 or bigger because I'm comitted to call vs a raise anyway. Shoving also seems like an overplay and expect to call mostly better hands. I believe I can bet small (like 10$) and fold vs a raise, to get value from those 1 pair / 2 pair hands. The problem is that he could still have T9 which would maybe bluff raise. But since he doesn't have many of those and I can't be sure would he bluffing, I believe betting small and folding or check/folding are both fine. If I check, I believe he would hapilly check back all those medium strong hands and bet only flushes.