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MTT ITM Push or fold?

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Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

I confess that I know too little about NLHE MTTs, so if this is a very basic situation, please let me know.

I have 5 BB left, I'm 11th out of 16 left.
Min payout at this stage is $105.

SB has nearly 25 BB

My perception is that he could shove almost ATC here -- but do I call?
If I fold, what am I waiting for?

Thanks,


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15 replies
Coach
maniac
Joined: 29.03.2006

well its not atc but close to it if you overfold. This one an easy call. You have to call at least 40%. If you dont do it he can generate immediate profit by shoving any 2.

Greets

maniac


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

It's also good to know how big the antes in game is,but in most cases the SB could shove a extreme wide range.especially if he knows you calling to tight.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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AlexKockar
Joined: 20.04.2012

yeahh pushhh , wait for better almost nuts ;)


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Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Originally posted by SDK1987
It's also good to know how big the antes in game is,but in most cases the SB could shove a extreme wide range.especially if he knows you calling to tight.

Cheers,
SDK1987

Antes are in the image -- 30K total, and 6 at the table, so 5K each

So you are saying that folding would be too tight?


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JCSeerup
Joined: 14.12.2010

Think this spot is a lot closer than it's made out to be. We gain very little $EV from winning a flip vs a big stack. It kinda depends on the payout structure and stacks at the other table.


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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

Very very easy call. ICM is almost irrelevant in this spot as price jumps before final table are very small overall. Plus it's very tough to even create (realistic) situation where we could fold QTs versus SB 5bb deep even in final table.


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Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

According to Equilab

       Equity     Win     Tie
SB     48.76%  47.11%   1.64% { 33+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J4s+, T6s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, A2o+, K5o+, Q7o+, J7o+, T7o+, 98o } (50%)
BB     51.24%  49.60%   1.64% { QTs }

I don't have ICMIzer or similar, and I used the 50% range because it produced a nearly 50/50 equity split, and I presume his overall range is much wider than that.

Compared to the top prize of $2800 the next pay jump was less than $50, so trying to fold up a ladder seemed senseless.
If I *did* double up, then I would effectively increase my payout by more than that.

Thanks for all your help.
VS


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Coach
maniac
Joined: 29.03.2006

hey vorpal,
with ICMIZER you have some hands for free each day. Lock this one up with and without ICM. Here a little hint both of them are easy calls. ;)

greets

maniac


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Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Originally posted by maniac
hey vorpal,
with ICMIZER you have some hands for free each day. Lock this one up with and without ICM. Here a little hint both of them are easy calls. ;)

greets

maniac

Thanks!
I'll check it out...
VS


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Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Well that was interesting.
https://www.icmpoker.com/icmizer/#pOleTK

So definitely a push:

Spoiler

and by a wide margin:

Spoiler

Apparently you get 1 hand per day, and I wasn't able to figure out how to run the query without ICM.

Thanks again for the tip!
VS


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Coach
maniac
Joined: 29.03.2006

you used 6 max icm. look at the top left of your corner. If you click on the 6 max you can choose icm or cev at the top. choose cev and do it again. If you need some help you can send me the hand or you watch some of collin's icmizer vids. He does that all the time.

greets

maniac


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Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Ah -- I'll do today's freebie the cev way.
I used the MTT option, and filled in the stacks at the other table -- I just guessed, but made sure that there were 5 with smaller stacks than mine since I was 11th out of 16.

I'll try again tomorrow.
As soon as I select chip EV it removed the MTT option.

In any case, it does appear that the call was OK


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Coach
maniac
Joined: 29.03.2006

yep mtt option is for calculating icm. You cant use cev then.

greets

maniac


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