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River a flush OOP -- how to extract more value...

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VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

GG Poker - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP: $4.19
CO: $8.95
Hero (BTN): $9.42
SB: $5.00
BB: $2.54
UTG: $4.98

SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.07) Hero has A♠:J♠:

fold, MP raises to $0.17, fold, Hero calls $0.17, fold, BB calls $0.12

Flop: ($0.53, 3 players) 7♣:J♦:4♠:
BB checks, MP checks, Hero bets $0.27, fold, MP calls $0.27

Turn: ($1.07, 2 players) K♠:
MP checks, Hero bets $0.54, MP calls $0.54 <== A bit unsure about the bet here -- I no longer have TP, but I now have the nut FD, so I chucked a bit more in

River: ($2.15, 2 players) 3♠:
MP checks, Hero bets $1.62, MP calls $1.62 <== I wanted to look bluffy (no, not the vampire slayer) but thought if I shoved it he'd just fold. He might call with some sets, two-pair hands or weaker flushes

Hero shows A♠:J♠: (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 65%, Flop 85%, Turn 32%)
MP shows K♥:T♦: (One Pair, Kings)
(Pre 35%, Flop 15%, Turn 68%)
Hero wins $5.39
Rake paid $0.31


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4 replies
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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

This is a spot you can think of 3betting AJs in position, but calling against a unknown is fine as well.
Turn is close. If he/she is fishy I wouldn't mind to make a thin value bet with the nut flush draw as back-up.
River is fine for sure :f_thumbsup:

Cheers,
SDK1987


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I think the turn might be a better check back villain can have AKs AKo KQs KJs "KTo is loose from villain" but we don't need that much protection on the turn with the redraw to the nut flush plus 2 pair or trips.If we bet hands like 99 TT wont call again so your really starting to iso yourself vs those Kx 77 hands.Villain can also have some flush draws on the turn so we also allow villain to hit those as well and we get to stack them on the river.If we check back to realise some equity we can also make a thin value bet with second pair if villain checks again or we have a bluff catcher if villain bets.I don't think betting the turn is a mistake though necessarily but if we get raised it's not a great spot to be in.And i think our second pair is only really a 2 street value hand at best so id rather play it on the river and realise some free equity if that all makes sense.


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najtreg12
Joined: 25.06.2009

I like the turn bet.
Versus a fish (assumption as below 100BB) you are probably still ahead.
On the river you can either check back (if you don't improve) or bet (if you do improve).


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Swish29
Joined: 06.04.2009

Mandatory turn bet imo, if villain is the profile that ends up having a K turn then that means he's the profile who would continue calling with worse pairs too. From this point of view you may have 65/T9/98/T8, checking back accomplishes nothing, we never lose less vs Kx because we call a river bet on a blank, but we miss value vs the rest. River bet is the max I would bet, there are very little flushes (7xss mostly) in villain's range and I would say close to no sets (they'd x/r turn on a drawy board most of the time). It's very tough for villain to call 3 barrels with 7x/AQ/AT so either you bet a sizing to target worse than Jx hands (so like 40-50%) or go for what you did and hope he has Jx+. Nh


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