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tptk flop/turn decisions

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Thoughts on flop and turn ?
Only a few hands played and only read is villain is playing less than 100bb so possibly more recreational

cheers in advance.

PartyGaming - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3

CO: $10.10 (101 bb)
Hero (BTN): $11.73 (117.3 bb)
SB: $10.27 (102.7 bb)
BB: $8.60 (86 bb)
UTG: $12.37 (123.7 bb)

SB posts $0.05, BB posts $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has A K
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.25, fold, BB calls $0.15

Flop: ($0.55, 2 players) K 8 5
BB bets $0.39, Hero raises to $1.04, BB raises to $1.91, Hero calls $0.87

Turn: ($4.37, 2 players) 7
BB bets $2.08, Hero raises to $9.57


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3 replies
Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Unfortunately I already know the outcome. :coolface:
How often do you think a rec will raise here with a worse K? a flush draw?

This is the classic WAWB situation.

I put this into Equilab, with a range of pocket Ks, pocket 8s, pocket 5s, K9o+ and a very wide variety of suited hearts hands.

Board: K♣8♥5♥
       Equity     Win     Tie
BU     64.32%  63.85%   0.47% { AKo }
BB     35.68%  35.21%   0.47% { KK, 88, 55, AhKh, AhQh, KhQh, AhJh, KhJh, QhJh, AhTh, KhTh, QhTh, JhTh, Ah9h, Kh9h, Qh9h, Jh9h, Th9h, Ah8h, Kh8h, Qh8h, Jh8h, Th8h, 9h8h, Ah7h, Kh7h, Qh7h, Jh7h, Th7h, 9h7h, 8h7h, Ah6h, Kh6h, Qh6h, Jh6h, Th6h, 9h6h, 8h6h, 7h6h, Ah5h, Kh5h, Qh5h, Jh5h, Th5h, 7h5h, 6h5h, Ah4h, Kh4h, Qh4h, Jh4h, 6h4h, 5h4h, Ah3h, Kh3h, Qh3h, Jh3h, 4h3h, Ah2h, Kh2h, Qh2h, Jh2h, 3h2h, K9o+ }

Amazingly, you are still ahead by roughly 2:1
If you accept that range, calling down would be fine I think -- raising seems like overplaying.
vs a fun player, the value hands are more heavily weighted when you see the raise OTF and the lead OTT I think...


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I think as played with raising the flop i should be folding the flop to a min 3bet it's an extremely strong line imo but in play i called because TPTK on a drawy board.Then the turn i levelled myself in to a shove because they bet half pot and i thought sets or 2 pair would bet bigger and the fd's missed . :f_frown:


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kfcsekirata
Joined: 01.11.2013

His line looks too strong. AFter call preflop and then with this line really looks like a set.


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