88 set on a very bad board

Do you have his postflop aggression stats here?
Even if he is totally aggro, this is a terrible runout for your hand.

I think the turn call is fine -- you have decent equity, but you're right -- two pairs and overpairs aren't going to bet big here, so the river fold is required

I have it but nothing special. He e is not maniac , he e is just stupid fish 😄

that's rough. some thoughts:
- raise flop?
- do we beat any of villain's value bets on the river?
- what are villain's value combos?

i don't want to fold, but when you call and get shown 9x you do feel dumb ♦ villain's value range looks mostly like high spades, though?

Originally posted by Tomaloc
that's rough. some thoughts:
- raise flop?
- do we beat any of villain's value bets on the river?
- what are villain's value combos?

i don't want to fold, but when you call and get shown 9x you do feel dumb ♦ villain's value range looks mostly like high spades, though?

It should be flushes and straights , but what 9s he'll play this way?

Originally posted by kfcsekirata
It should be flushes and straights , but what 9s he'll play this way?

indeed, i wonder how many 9x he's raising preflop to begin with. that's why i believe it's mostly high spades...

so yes, i'm feeling a call. i'm expecting mostly flushes, bluffs, AA overplay (in that order) which should give us enough odds on the curiosity call.

Raise the Flop for sure. Many players will just go broke with KQ or overpairs.

I may not fold the River. Does he have 9X in his range preflop? SB 3bet vs MP. Not too many combos. Also depends whether he's barreling AsK AsQ and KsQ QsK for 3 streets or not.

As played, turn is a clear call, you are ahead of so many hands plus you have the redraw