Hi again.
Just recently played this hand where my gut told me I was beat and I folded. Interested to hear any input on what I could've done better.
My analysis:
PF: 3BB raise (although I should've done 3.5BB as previously instructed :)) is good. Call minraise is also ok.
Flop: Villain opens with an over pot size bet. I think call here is justified as his PF play might've been to protect his hand with some random Ax hand or KJ even and what he did here is a CBet trying to get me off the hand.
Turn: Diamond shows up on the board. Considering the villain may have reraised PF with AA/AK/AQ/KQ (or even QQ [or something like QT as people at these limits appear to often do]) and the possibility of a flush, I think it's the correct decision to fold here. Had I called, I would've faced the same tough decision had the card been a brick and the opponent continued to bet.
Let me know if my decision to fold was ok or not. I think it may look to be on the side of over-cautious, but based on my limited experience of the NL2 games, I'm usually beat here.
PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (BTN): 149 BB
SB: 164.5 BB
BB: 89 BB
UTG: 48.5 BB
MP: 102.5 BB
CO: 109 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♠ J♦
fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, BB raises to 6 BB, Hero calls 3 BB
Flop: (12.5 BB, 2 players) Q♦ A♦ Q♠
BB bets 15 BB, Hero calls 15 BB
Turn: (42.5 BB, 2 players) 5♦
BB bets 20.5 BB, fold
Spoiler
BB wins 41 BB
I realize I have the 2nd-to-nut flush draw (provided there's no FH or quads). Maybe pot odds would've justified a call with the occasional double barrel bluffs by the opponent.
