Hello jiffybag!
Preflop
I mean that's an interesting questions. The hand is profitable as default. I would be careful for you not to overvalue singular hands that went to showdown when you change your defaul gameplan - calling off AKs isn't exactly bat**** crazy
I'd consider the blinds behind you - if they aren't squeeze happy it's perfectly fine to open the hand and not change usual ranges.
River
Hey I get it, I really do - he is too loose and passive, seems like he is going to check back a LOT - it's a nice bet for value, n'est-ce pas, pardon my French for some reason. I actually went commando and see if solver could approve. My hard disk is being a diva so I made this from scratch, with just one size options
The Solver doesn't like leads here even at puny sizes
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Why that is? Well basicaly on the flop we just bet most of our strong stuff and are now somewhat capped
This is flop bet strategy
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River nodelock
Ah what the hell, I nodelocked, removed most bluffs
chopped up villain's River buff range
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And wouldn't you know it THE SOLVER DOES START TO LEAD HERE
to 18% size
River pro lead with arbitrary commando sim
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Conclusion
- His ranges will be way wider than what I used - but you need to be careful not to extrapolate too hard from small samples - the info you gave was vague to say the least
- If you wonder why no T♦:8♦: on the River it's because it folds it vs the turn bet, calls T♠:8♠A♠ it unblocks some backdoor bluff hands from either street.
- River lead isn't terrible or anything - pretty far fetched and unnecessary, but vs small lead he is SUPPOSED TO RAISE 44.5% of the time and if you are right about your reads he shouldn't bluff that often - and if he won't maybe you can even size up a bit as he can call much wider than solver with a wider range

So I mean yeah - unnecessary to lead here unless you really can
- Confidently cap his range because of turn size
- Really assume he is passive and won't bluff enough, both in betting when checked to and raising when you do donk
=> I can see leading here with some extensive reads vs someone very face up ish in a very specific situation
=> I spent way more time trying to science out a way where we can lead in this spot, and 99% most likely so did you. This turn sizing is very unusual and you might take months before you face this line again.
Fun though
