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Questionable call on Villian river shove...

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rafds
Joined: 17.06.2011

With only stats on 50 hds and being shorstacked the villian on BU doesn't seem to be the tightest player and likes to play with aggression => aggr recreational.
Against these types I don't like to get floated so I decide to bet rather large on the flop to hopefully make him fold. Just a snapcall is the reaction, showing no real strength and only confirms he's still in love with his hand :f_love:.
On the turn I hit my Q and I Cb as I'm not that worried it's a flushdraw, he still has a lot of pairs (77-JJ) or A3, A4, A6, suited broadways or AT-AJ he likes to call down with.
The river pairs the board but so far he didn't show real strength and I don't want to get floated so I decide to put in a 55% bet. His shove takes a bit longer than his previous calls but not that long in the end. I only expect him to beat me with QJs+ or A4 or bluffs which I think he's capable off. Flushes would have raised or minraised on the turn.
It's a marginal call I think, but with only 44BB to call to win a 143BB pot I only need to be right ±1/3 times, right?

GGPoker, Hold'em No Limit - $0.05/$0.10 - 6 players
Replay this hand on Pokeit

38e7dced (UTG): $10.16 (102 bb)
197bc383 (MP): $14.21 (142 bb)
Hero (CO): $15.44 (154 bb)
553d55c2 (BU): $7.18 (72 bb) : 38/25/43/0:3b
7b5f1084 (SB): $10.00 (100 bb)
b45ed093 (BB): $11.28 (113 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.15) Hero (Hero) is CO with Q♦ T♦
2 players fold, Hero (CO) raises to $0.22, 553d55c2 (BU) calls $0.22, 2 players fold

Flop: ($0.59) 3♠ 4♦ 6♠ (2 players)
Hero (CO) bets $0.33, 553d55c2 (BU) calls $0.33

Turn: ($1.25) Q♠ (2 players)
Hero (CO) bets $0.69, 553d55c2 (BU) calls $0.69

River: ($2.63) 4♥ (2 players)
Hero (CO) bets $1.45, 553d55c2 (BU) raises to $5.84, Hero (CO) calls $4.39

Total pot: $14.31 (Rake: $0.45)

Showdown:
553d55c2 (BU) shows Q♥ 9♥ (two pair, Queens and Fours)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 31%, Flop: 14%, Turn: 7%, River: 0%)

Hero (CO) shows Q♦ T♦ (two pair, Queens and Fours - higher kicker)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 69%, Flop: 86%, Turn: 93%, River: 100%)

Hero (CO) wins $13.86


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Seems well played indeed. Off course the call of the shove on the river is really close. Villain shouldn't shove any weaker hands for value and you aren't blocking the flush. I need really good reads to call the shove.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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